Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Ronald Acuna and the Atlanta Braves will look to out-hit Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Truist Park on Saturday at 7:15 p.m. ET. The Braves are -175 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Pirates (+145). Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +123 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -102 odds to hit the over and -118 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to watch on TV: FDSSO and SportsNet PT

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Pirates 46%

Braves vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Braves have won 53, or 51.5%, of the 103 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has a record of 20-13 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -175 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 63.6%.
• The Pirates have been victorious in 47, or 42%, of the 112 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 12 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves went 5-2 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Braves' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Matt Olson is the bat to watch in the Braves lineup, leading the team in batting average (.272), home runs (29), and RBI (94).
• Of all batters in MLB, Olson's home run total places him 33rd, and his RBI tally ranks him 22nd.
• Michael Harris II is hitting .248 with 26 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 16 walks.
• Harris ranks 80th in home runs and 34th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Harris has five straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .476 with three doubles, three home runs and seven RBIs.
• Drake Baldwin is hitting .275 with 17 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 38 walks.
• Baldwin has at least one base hit in nine straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs, four walks and 12 RBIs.
• Marcell Ozuna is hitting .233 with 19 doubles, 21 home runs and 94 walks.
• Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with a home run, four walks and two RBIs.

Braves Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 4-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Pirates have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• The Pirates are led in runs batted in by Reynolds with a mark of 73, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .244.
• Reynolds ranks 123rd in homers and 74th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Reynolds has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double and two walks.
• Spencer Horwitz is hitting .270 with 26 doubles, 11 home runs and 43 walks.
• Among all MLB batters, Horwitz is 189th in home runs and 170th in RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .238 with 22 doubles, 13 home runs and 67 walks.
• Oneil Cruz has launched a team-best 20 home runs.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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