Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 10

Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates square off against Austin Riley and the Atlanta Braves on Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET at PNC Park. The favored Braves have -154 moneyline odds against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +129. Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Atlanta Braves and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Braves vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: SportsNet PT and FDSSO

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Pirates 49%

Braves vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have won 15 out of the 28 games, or 53.6%, in which they've been favored.
• Atlanta has a record of 8-3 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -154 on the moneyline.
• The Braves have a 60.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Pirates have won in eight, or 33.3%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 4-11 when favored by +129 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves went 4-4 over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
• The Braves are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Matt Olson is batting .222 with five doubles, six home runs and 28 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Olson ranks 125th in batting average, 46th in on-base percentage, and 96th in slugging.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .225 with four doubles, five home runs and 13 walks.
• Albies ranks 69th in home runs and 125th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Marcell Ozuna is hitting .269 with four doubles, five home runs and 32 walks.
• Riley has put his power on display as he leads his team with eight home runs and 25 RBI, with a team-best .291 batting average.
• Riley is riding an eight-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is batting .317 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and seven RBIs.

Braves Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 2-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Pirates have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Cruz has swatted a team-high eight long balls.
• In all of MLB, Cruz is 24th in homers and 78th in RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .259 to lead the lineup.
• McCutchen ranks 145th overall in homers and 155th in RBI this season.
• Bryan Reynolds has collected a team-best 19 runs batted in.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has three doubles, a triple, a home run and eight walks while hitting .248.

Pirates Team Props

Braves vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Atlanta Braves and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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