
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1
Updated Oct. 1, 2023 3:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves will look to find success against Jackson Rutledge when he takes the mound for the Washington Nationals on Sunday at 3:10 PM ET. The Nationals are +187 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Braves (-229). Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at -122 odds). The total for the game has been set at 10.5 runs.
The starting pitchers are Dylan Dodd for the Atlanta Braves, and Rutledge (1-1) for the Washington Nationals.
Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Braves vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:10 PM ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: BSSE
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -229 | +187 | 10.5 | -119 | -101 | -1.5 | -122 | +101 |
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Braves 6, Nationals 4
- Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 59%, Nationals 41%
Braves vs. Nationals Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 148 games this season and won 96 (64.9%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has a record of 30-11 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -229 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- The Nationals have been victorious in 59, or 40.1%, of the 147 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Washington has won 15 of 39 games when listed as at least +187 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 34.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves went 7-3 over the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Braves are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Braves Player Insights
- Acuna leads the Braves with a .338 batting average.
- In all of Major League Baseball, Acuna ranks fifth in homers and eighth in RBI.
- Acuna has collected a hit in 14 games in a row. In his last 10 games he is batting .366 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
- Matt Olson's 54 home runs and 137 runs batted in are both team-highs.
- Olson is first in home runs and first in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
- Olson heads into this game looking for his eighth game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .324 with a double, two home runs, five walks and seven RBI.
- Ozzie Albies is batting .278 with 30 doubles, five triples, 33 home runs and 44 walks.
- Albies will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .409 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
- Austin Riley is hitting .282 with 32 doubles, three triples, 37 home runs and 59 walks.
Braves Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+310) | 0.5 (+115) |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 1.5 (+110) | 1.5 (-164) | 0.5 (+350) | 0.5 (+130) |
| Marcell Ozuna | 1.5 (+200) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+310) | 0.5 (+105) |
| Austin Riley | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (-110) | 0.5 (+360) | 0.5 (+105) |
| Travis d'Arnaud | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+135) |
Learn more about this Braves vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.
Nationals Recent Betting Performance
- The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Nationals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.28 |
| K/9 | 8 |
Nationals Player Insights
- Lane Thomas leads the Nationals with 28 home runs.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Thomas' home run total ranks 34th and his RBI tally is 41st.
- C.J. Abrams is hitting .244 with 28 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 32 walks.
- Abrams is 111th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 114th in RBI.
- Joey Meneses paces the Nationals in runs batted in (88) and has a team-high batting average of .276.
- Keibert Ruiz is batting .259 with 23 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks.
Nationals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+155) |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+140) |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+190) |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+185) |
| Lane Thomas | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+150) |
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