Blue Jays vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 19

The Toronto Blue Jays and Ernie Clement ready for the first of a three-game series against Maikel Garcia and the Kansas City Royals on Friday at Kauffman Stadium. The Blue Jays are -140 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Royals (+118). Toronto is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Blue Jays vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 19, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to watch on TV: Apple TV+

Blue Jays vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 50%, Royals 50%

Blue Jays vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have won 46, or 59%, of the 78 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Toronto has a record of 31-12, a 72.1% win rate, when favored by -140 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 58.3% chance to win.
• The Royals have been underdogs in 88 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (44.3%) in those contests.
• Kansas City has a mark of 19-21 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays went 6-3 over the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Blue Jays have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .300 with 33 doubles, 23 home runs and 80 walks.
• In all of the majors, Guerrero ranks 55th in home runs and 36th in RBI.
• George Springer has hit 29 home runs to pace his team.
• Springer ranks 22nd in homers and 48th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Clement has 33 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 25 walks while batting .280.
• Clement is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with four doubles, a walk and three RBIs.
• Alejandro Kirk is batting .289 with 17 doubles, 12 home runs and 45 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Royals and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Royals have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .291.
• Witt is 59th in home runs and 40th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Garcia is batting .286 with 36 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 57 walks.
• Garcia ranks 117th in homers and 76th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has been a significant run producer for the Royals with 30 home runs and 104 runs batted in.
• Salvador Perez is batting .238 with 34 doubles, 29 home runs and 25 walks.

Royals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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