Astros vs. Rangers ALCS Game 7 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 23

Astros vs. Rangers ALCS Game 7 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 23

Updated Oct. 23, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

The Houston Astros will host the Texas Rangers in the seventh and final game of the ALCS on Monday at 8:03 PM ET, live on FOX from Minute Maid Park. The winner will advance to the World Series after the teams split the first six games of the series. The Rangers are listed as +111 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Astros (-131). Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's total has been set at 9 runs.

The probable pitchers are Cristian Javier (10-5, 4.56 ERA) for the Astros against Max Scherzer (13-6, 3.77 ERA) for the Rangers.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Monday, October 23, 2023 at 8:03 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: FOX
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -131 +111 9 -104 -116 -1.5 +158 -188

Astros vs. Rangers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 52%, Rangers 48%

Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 63 out of the 124 games, or 50.8%, in which they've been favored.
  • Houston has entered 93 games this season favored by -131 or more and is 48-45 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • The Rangers have come away with 31 wins in the 58 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Texas has a mark of 15-15 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros went 2-4 across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Astros are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 18
ERA 3.90
K/9 9.9

Astros Player Insights

  • Kyle Tucker paces the Astros in runs batted in (112) and has put up a team-best batting average of .284.
  • In all of MLB, Tucker is 30th in homers and third in RBI.
  • Alex Bregman is batting .262 with 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks.
  • Bregman ranks 46th in homers and 19th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 31 home runs.
  • Alvarez is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .526 with two home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
  • Jose Altuve has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while batting .311.
  • Altuve has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
José Abreu 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+180)
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+235)
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+205)
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 (-179) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+280) 0.5 (+155)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rangers have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Rangers and their opponents are 5-3-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Rangers are 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 18
ERA 4.00
K/9 7.7

Rangers Player Insights

  • Marcus Semien has 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks while hitting .276.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Semien ranks 30th in homers and 16th in RBI.
  • Corey Seager has a club-best .327 batting average.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Seager ranks 16th in homers and 27th in RBI.
  • Adolis Garcia paces the Rangers in home runs (39) and runs batted in (107).
  • Nate Lowe is hitting .262 with 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks.

Rangers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Corey Seager 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+235) 0.5 (+115)
Marcus Semien 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+160)
Adolis García 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+190) 0.5 (-105)
Nate Lowe 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+230)
Mitch Garver 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+150)
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