USC vs. TCU Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 30, 2025

Updated Dec. 30, 2025 9:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Alamo Bowl features a showdown between the TCU Horned Frogs (who are 4.5-point underdogs) and the USC Trojans on December 30, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN. The game has an over/under of 56.5.

In their last action, the Trojans won against the UCLA Bruins, 29-10. In their last game, the Horned Frogs won against the Cincinnati Bearcats, 45-23.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

USC vs. TCU Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, December 30, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
Location: Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas
TV: ESPN
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

USC vs TCU Betting Information updated as of December 30, 2025, 8:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
USC	-4.5 (-113)	-200	+166	56.5	-110	-110

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USC vs. TCU Prediction

Pick ATS: USC (-4.5)
Pick OU: Over (56.5)
Prediction: USC 33, TCU 24

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the USC Trojans vs. the TCU Horned Frogs game on FOX Sports!

USC vs. TCU Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Trojans 30, Horned Frogs 26.
The Trojans have a 66.7% chance to claim victory in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Horned Frogs hold a 37.6% implied probability.
USC has put together a 5-7-0 record against the spread this season.
TCU is 6-5-1 ATS this season.

USC vs. TCU: 2025 Stats Comparison

	USC	TCU
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	36.5 (21)	30.8 (54)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.4 (41)	25.2 (62)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	14 (41)	19 (98)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	17 (54)	19 (39)

USC 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jayden Maiava	QB	3,431 YDS (66.2%) / 23 TD / 8 INT 150 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 12.5 RUSH YPG
Makai Lemon	WR	79 REC / 1,156 YDS / 11 TD / 96.3 YPG
King Miller	RB	873 YDS / 7 TD / 87.3 YPG / 6.7 YPC 15 REC / 96 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12 REC YPG
Ja'Kobi Lane	WR	49 REC / 745 YDS / 4 TD / 67.7 YPG
Eric Gentry	LB	46 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Bishop Fitzgerald	DB	31 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 5 INT
Anthony Lucas	DL	30 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK
Desman Stephens II	LB	47 TKL / 0 TFL

TCU 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Josh Hoover	QB	3,472 YDS (65.9%) / 29 TD / 13 INT 4 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 0.3 RUSH YPG
Eric McAlister	WR	64 REC / 1,121 YDS / 10 TD / 93.4 YPG
Jordan Dwyer	WR	54 REC / 730 YDS / 7 TD / 60.8 YPG
Jeremy Payne	RB	550 YDS / 4 TD / 55 YPG / 5.7 YPC 16 REC / 157 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.6 REC YPG
Kaleb Elarms-Orr	LB	92 TKL / 8 TFL / 4 SACK
Jamel Johnson	DB	66 TKL / 1 TFL / 4 INT / 4 PD
Namdi Obiazor	LB	64 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT
Bud Clark	DB	39 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 4 INT