Toledo vs. Bowling Green Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11, 2025

Updated Oct. 11, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Bowling Green Falcons (2-3) are 10-point underdogs in a home MAC matchup against the Toledo Rockets (3-2) on Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. The over/under is set at 47.5 points for the outing.

In their most recent action, the Rockets won versus the Akron Zips, 45-3. The Falcons lost versus the Ohio Bobcats in their last game, 35-20.

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Toledo vs. Bowling Green Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, Ohio
TV: ESPNU
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Toledo vs Bowling Green Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Toledo	-10 (-111)	-368	+291	47.5	-110	-109

Toledo vs. Bowling Green Prediction

Pick ATS: Bowling Green (+10)
Pick OU: Over (47.5)
Prediction: Toledo 26, Bowling Green 22

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Toledo Rockets vs. the Bowling Green Falcons game on FOX Sports!

Toledo vs. Bowling Green Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Rockets 29, Falcons 19.
The Rockets have a 78.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Falcons have a 25.6% implied probability.
Toledo has covered four times in five matchups with a spread this season.
Bowling Green has put together a 3-2-0 ATS record so far this year.

Toledo vs. Bowling Green: Head-to-Head

The last four times Bowling Green and Toledo have squared off, the two teams share the same 2-2 record.
The last four times the Falcons have gone up against the Rockets, they have put up a 3-1 record against the spread. The scoring went over the total each time.
Over their last four head-to-head contests, Toledo has put up 142 points, while Bowling Green has posted 131.

Toledo vs. Bowling Green: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Toledo	Bowling Green
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	35.8 (44)	21.2 (116)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	12.4 (9)	25.8 (68)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (35)	6 (54)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	9 (22)	9 (22)

Toledo 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
DeaMonte Trayanum	RB	476 YDS / 6 TD / 95.2 YPG / 6.3 YPC 7 REC / 61 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 15.3 REC YPG
Tucker Gleason	QB	925 YDS (62.7%) / 7 TD / 3 INT 56 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 14 RUSH YPG
Junior Vandeross III	WR	31 REC / 380 YDS / 6 TD / 76 YPG
Kenji Christian	RB	198 YDS / 2 TD / 39.6 YPG / 5.2 YPC 5 REC / 35 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.7 REC YPG
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren	DB	26 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
K'Von Sherman	LB	28 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK
Malachi Davis	DL	17 TKL / 5 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Martez Poynter	DL	14 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK

Bowling Green 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Drew Pyne	QB	830 YDS (64.4%) / 4 TD / 5 INT
Chris McMillian	RB	225 YDS / 2 TD / 56.3 YPG / 4.9 YPC
Kaderris Roberts	RB	183 YDS / 0 TD / 36.6 YPG / 5.4 YPC 15 REC / 100 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 20 REC YPG
Cameron Pettaway	RB	194 YDS / 0 TD / 38.8 YPG / 5.1 YPC
Dorian Pringle	LB	17 TKL / 3 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Gideon Lampron	LB	27 TKL / 3 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Kal-El Pascal	DB	22 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Mark Cannon Jr.	DB	16 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK