Texas vs. Michigan Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 31, 2025

Texas vs. Michigan Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 31, 2025

Updated Dec. 31, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Texas Longhorns meet the Michigan Wolverines in the Citrus Bowl as 4.5-point favorites on December 31, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET on ABC. The game has an over/under of 50.5.

Facing the Texas A&M Aggies in their last contest, the Longhorns won 27-17. Facing the Ohio State Buckeyes in their last contest, the Wolverines lost 27-9.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Texas vs. Michigan Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida
  • TV: ABC
  • Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle
Texas vs Michigan Betting Information updated as of December 31, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Texas -4.5 (-111) -200 +166 50.5 -110 -112

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Texas vs. Michigan Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Michigan (+4.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (50.5)
  • Prediction: Michigan 26, Texas 22

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas Longhorns vs. the Michigan Wolverines game on FOX Sports!

Texas vs. Michigan Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Longhorns 28, Wolverines 23.
  • The Longhorns have a 66.7% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Wolverines have a 37.6% implied probability.
  • Texas has put together a 4-8-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Michigan has won four games against the spread this year, failing to cover eight times.

Texas vs. Michigan: 2025 Stats Comparison

Texas Michigan
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 29.6 (61) 27.6 (78)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 19.8 (15) 18.7 (12)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 8 (3) 14 (40)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 20 (34) 18 (47)

Texas 2025 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Arch Manning QB 2,942 YDS (61.4%) / 24 TD / 7 INT
244 RUSH YDS / 8 RUSH TD / 20.3 RUSH YPG
Ryan Wingo WR 50 REC / 770 YDS / 7 TD / 64.2 YPG
Quintrevion Wisner RB 597 YDS / 3 TD / 66.3 YPG / 4.6 YPC
22 REC / 146 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 16.2 REC YPG
Parker Livingstone WR 26 REC / 491 YDS / 6 TD / 40.9 YPG
Colin Simmons DL 38 TKL / 8 TFL / 11 SACK
Anthony Hill Jr. LB 63 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK / 2 INT
Jelani McDonald DB 62 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Michael Taaffe DB 55 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT

Michigan 2025 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Bryce Underwood QB 2,229 YDS (61.1%) / 9 TD / 6 INT
323 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 26.9 RUSH YPG
Jordan Marshall RB 932 YDS / 10 TD / 84.7 YPG / 6.2 YPC
9 REC / 92 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.1 REC YPG
Justice Haynes RB 857 YDS / 10 TD / 122.4 YPG / 7.1 YPC
Andrew Marsh WR 42 REC / 641 YDS / 3 TD / 64.1 YPG
Derrick Moore DL 24 TKL / 7 TFL / 9.5 SACK
Jimmy Rolder LB 48 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Ernest Hausmann LB 48 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK
Jaishawn Barham LB 23 TKL / 7 TFL / 4 SACK

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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