Texas vs. Michigan Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 31, 2025

Published Dec. 28, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Texas Longhorns are 7.5-point favorites as they hit the field against the Michigan Wolverines in the Citrus Bowl on December 31, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET on ABC. The contest has an over/under of 48.5 points.

Against the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game, the Longhorns won 27-17. In their most recent game, the Wolverines lost versus the Ohio State Buckeyes, 27-9.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Texas vs. Michigan Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET
Location: Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida
TV: ABC
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

Texas vs Michigan Betting Information updated as of December 28, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas	-7.5 (-109)	-314	+253	48.5	-105	-115

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Texas vs. Michigan Prediction

Pick ATS: Michigan (+7.5)
Pick OU: Under (48.5)
Prediction: Michigan 26, Texas 22

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas Longhorns vs. the Michigan Wolverines game on FOX Sports!

Texas vs. Michigan Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Longhorns 28, Wolverines 20.
The Longhorns have a 75.8% chance to claim victory in this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Wolverines have a 28.3% implied probability.
Texas has covered four times in 12 matchups with a spread this season.
Michigan has covered four times in 12 matchups with a spread this year.

Texas vs. Michigan: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Texas	Michigan
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	29.6 (59)	27.6 (78)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	19.8 (15)	18.7 (12)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (3)	14 (41)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	20 (32)	18 (45)

Texas 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Arch Manning	QB	2,942 YDS (61.4%) / 24 TD / 7 INT 244 RUSH YDS / 8 RUSH TD / 20.3 RUSH YPG
Ryan Wingo	WR	50 REC / 770 YDS / 7 TD / 64.2 YPG
Quintrevion Wisner	RB	597 YDS / 3 TD / 66.3 YPG / 4.6 YPC 22 REC / 146 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 16.2 REC YPG
Parker Livingstone	WR	26 REC / 491 YDS / 6 TD / 40.9 YPG
Colin Simmons	DL	38 TKL / 8 TFL / 11 SACK
Anthony Hill Jr.	LB	63 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK / 2 INT
Jelani McDonald	DB	62 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Michael Taaffe	DB	55 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT

Michigan 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Bryce Underwood	QB	2,229 YDS (61.1%) / 9 TD / 6 INT 323 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 26.9 RUSH YPG
Jordan Marshall	RB	932 YDS / 10 TD / 84.7 YPG / 6.2 YPC 9 REC / 92 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.1 REC YPG
Justice Haynes	RB	857 YDS / 10 TD / 122.4 YPG / 7.1 YPC
Andrew Marsh	WR	42 REC / 641 YDS / 3 TD / 64.1 YPG
Derrick Moore	DL	24 TKL / 7 TFL / 9.5 SACK
Jimmy Rolder	LB	48 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Ernest Hausmann	LB	48 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK
Jaishawn Barham	LB	23 TKL / 7 TFL / 4 SACK