
Texas vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23
Updated Sep. 23, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET
FOX Sports
Oddsmakers massively favor the No. 3 Texas Longhorns (3-0) when they visit the Baylor Bears (1-2) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 in a matchup between Big 12 foes at McLane Stadium. Texas is favored by 17 points. The point total is 48.5.
The Longhorns beat the Wyoming Cowboys, 31-10, in their most recent game. The Bears' most recent game was against the LIU Post Pioneers, and they won by a score of 30-7.
Texas vs. Baylor Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
- Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas
- TV: ABC
- Live boxscore on FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread (Odds) | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Moneyline | Under Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | -17 (-110) | -835 | +561 | 48.5 | -110 | -110 |
Texas vs. Baylor Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Baylor (+17)
- Pick OU: Over (48.5)
- Prediction: Texas 30, Baylor 21
Learn more about the Texas Longhorns vs. the Baylor Bears game on FOX Sports!
Texas vs. Baylor Betting Insights
- Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Longhorns 33, Bears 16.
- The Longhorns have an 89.3% chance to win this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears hold a 15.1% implied probability.
- Texas has covered once in three games with a spread this season.
- Baylor is winless against the spread this year (0-1-1).
Texas vs. Baylor: Head-to-Head
- In their past two matchups, Baylor has a split 1-1 record against Texas.
- The Longhorns and the Bears have been an even matchup over their last two meetings, holding a split 1-1 record against the spread. In those two head-to-head matchups, the two squads have hit the over on the total on one occasion.
- Over their last two head-to-head contests, Texas has scored 62 points, while Baylor has accumulated 58.
Texas vs. Baylor: 2023 Stats Comparison
| Texas | Baylor | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 34.0 (55) | 24.7 (93) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 14.7 (24) | 23.0 (66) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 1 (3) | 5 (77) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 6 (26) | 3 (83) |
Texas 2023 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Quinn Ewers | QB | 740 YDS (60.7%) / 8 TD / 0 INT 18 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 6.0 RUSH YPG |
| Jonathon Brooks | RB | 273 YDS / 1 TD / 91.0 YPG / 5.8 YPC 3 REC / 46 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 15.3 REC YPG |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | 16 REC / 221 YDS / 2 TD / 73.7 YPG |
| Adonai Mitchell | WR | 9 REC / 134 YDS / 3 TD / 44.7 YPG |
| Ethan Burke | DE | 9 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK |
| David Gbenda | LB | 12 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK |
| Anthony Hill Jr. | LB | 7 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK |
| Jaylan Ford | LB | 12 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD |
Baylor 2023 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Drake Dabney | TE | 8 REC / 139 YDS / 3 TD / 46.3 YPG |
| Blake Shapen | QB | 303 YDS (67.7%) / 2 TD / 0 INT -2 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -0.7 RUSH YPG |
| Richard Reese | RB | 117 YDS / 2 TD / 39.0 YPG / 4.5 YPC |
| Sawyer Robertson | QB | 444 YDS (45.2%) / 1 TD / 3 INT 47 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 15.7 RUSH YPG |
| TJ Franklin | DL | 8 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK |
| Matt Jones | LB | 18 TKL / 0.0 TFL |
| Byron Vaughns | OLB | 6 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK |
| Mike Smith Jr. | LB | 13 TKL / 2.0 TFL |
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