Texas State vs. UL Monroe Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 22, 2025

Updated Nov. 22, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Sun Belt rivals meet when the Texas State Bobcats (4-6) host the UL Monroe Warhawks (3-7) on Saturday, November 22, 2025 at UFCU Stadium. Texas State is favored by 20.5 points. The point total is 59.5 for the game.

Against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles in their most recent contest, the Bobcats won 41-14. Last time around, the Warhawks fell to the South Alabama Jaguars, with 26-14 being the final score.

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Texas State vs. UL Monroe Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET
Location: UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, Texas
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Texas State vs UL Monroe Betting Information updated as of November 22, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas State	-20.5 (-109)	-1370	+809	59.5	-110	-110

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Texas State vs. UL Monroe Prediction

Pick ATS: Texas State (-20.5)
Pick OU: Over (59.5)
Prediction: Texas State 42, UL Monroe 19

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas State Bobcats vs. the UL Monroe Warhawks game on FOX Sports!

Texas State vs. UL Monroe Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Bobcats 40, Warhawks 20.
The Bobcats have a 93.2% chance to win this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Warhawks have an 11.0% implied probability.
Texas State has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
UL Monroe has a record of just 2-8-0 against the spread this season.

Texas State vs. UL Monroe: Head-to-Head

Over their last four meetings, Texas State has tallied three wins against UL Monroe.
In those games versus UL Monroe, the Bobcats have covered three times while eclipsing the point total on two occasions.
UL Monroe has been outscored by 29 points in its last four tilts versus Texas State.

Texas State vs. UL Monroe: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Texas State	UL Monroe
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	35.3 (22)	15.8 (132)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	32.7 (122)	32.2 (115)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	13 (69)	17 (111)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (120)	8 (120)

Texas State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brad Jackson	QB	2,568 YDS (70%) / 14 TD / 6 INT 491 RUSH YDS / 11 RUSH TD / 49.1 RUSH YPG
Lincoln Pare	RB	855 YDS / 11 TD / 85.5 YPG / 5.3 YPC 27 REC / 228 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 22.8 REC YPG
Beau Sparks	WR	67 REC / 988 YDS / 7 TD / 98.8 YPG
Chris Dawn Jr.	WR	39 REC / 717 YDS / 2 TD / 79.7 YPG
Treylin Payne	LB	79 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Bobby Crosby	DB	51 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Ryan Nolan	DB	57 TKL / 1 TFL
Kalil Alexander	DL	36 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK

UL Monroe 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Braylon McReynolds	RB	539 YDS / 3 TD / 53.9 YPG / 5.3 YPC 11 REC / 63 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 9 REC YPG
Aidan Armenta	QB	1,152 YDS (56.1%) / 9 TD / 8 INT 29 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 3.2 RUSH YPG
Zachary Palmer-Smith	RB	466 YDS / 2 TD / 46.6 YPG / 5.8 YPC
Jonathan Bibbs	WR	22 REC / 278 YDS / 2 TD / 30.9 YPG
Noah Flemmings	LB	46 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister	DB	29 TKL / 4 TFL / 4 SACK
Marcus Ross	LB	28 TKL / 4 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Jabari Tiller	DB	27 TKL / 6 TFL / 2.5 SACK