South Alabama vs. Troy Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4, 2025

Updated Oct. 4, 2025 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oddsmakers project a tight contest between Sun Belt rivals when the South Alabama Jaguars (1-4) visit the Troy Trojans (2-2) on Saturday, October 4, 2025 at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). Troy is a 1.5-point underdogs. The point total is 47.5 for the outing.

Last time out, the Jaguars fell to the North Texas Mean Green, with 36-22 being the final score. In their last game, the Trojans won versus the Buffalo Bulls, 21-17.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

South Alabama vs. Troy Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) in Troy, Alabama
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

South Alabama vs Troy Betting Information updated as of October 4, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
South Alabama	-1.5 (-111)	-123	+103	47.5	-108	-112

South Alabama vs. Troy Prediction

Pick ATS: Troy (+1.5)
Pick OU: Over (47.5)
Prediction: Troy 25, South Alabama 22

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the South Alabama Jaguars vs. the Troy Trojans game on FOX Sports!

South Alabama vs. Troy Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Jaguars 24, Trojans 23.
The Jaguars have a 55.2% chance to claim victory in this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Trojans have a 49.3% implied probability.
South Alabama has won two games against the spread this season.
Troy has won two games against the spread this year.

South Alabama vs. Troy: Head-to-Head

Over their last four meetings, Troy has totaled three wins against South Alabama.
In those matchups against South Alabama, the Trojans have covered three times while eclipsing the point total on one occasion.
In their last four head-to-head matchups, Troy has compiled 78 points against South Alabama, while allowing only 65 points.

South Alabama vs. Troy: 2025 Stats Comparison

	South Alabama	Troy
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	25.2 (80)	20.5 (121)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	31.8 (124)	23 (50)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	9 (120)	6 (74)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	6 (51)	4 (93)

South Alabama 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Bishop Davenport	QB	959 YDS (64.2%) / 7 TD / 4 INT 115 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 23 RUSH YPG
Kentrel Bullock	RB	410 YDS / 5 TD / 82 YPG / 4.7 YPC
Devin Voisin	WR	32 REC / 457 YDS / 4 TD / 91.4 YPG
PJ Martin	RB	217 YDS / 1 TD / 43.4 YPG / 5.3 YPC 4 REC / 45 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 22.5 REC YPG
Christopher Wallace Jr.	DB	21 TKL / 2 TFL
Tirrell Johnson Jr.	LB	12 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK
Tyler Thomas	DL	7 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Darius McKenzie	LB	21 TKL / 0 TFL

Troy 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Tae Meadows	RB	337 YDS / 2 TD / 84.3 YPG / 5.8 YPC
Will Crowder	QB	374 YDS (60.3%) / 4 TD / 3 INT 53 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 26.5 RUSH YPG
Tray Taylor	WR	9 REC / 117 YDS / 2 TD / 29.3 YPG
Roman Mothershed	WR	13 REC / 142 YDS / 1 TD / 35.5 YPG
Jordan Stringer	LB	34 TKL / 3 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Devin Lafayette	DB	31 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Jaquez White	DB	20 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Donnie Smith		13 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK