North Carolina vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Updated Oct. 21, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oddsmakers heavily favor the No. 10 North Carolina Tar Heels (6-0) when they host the Virginia Cavaliers (1-5) on Saturday, October 21, 2023 in a matchup between ACC foes at Kenan Memorial Stadium. North Carolina is favored by 23.5 points. The over/under is 58 for this matchup.

The Tar Heels won against the Miami Hurricanes in their last game, 41-31. The Cavaliers beat the William & Mary Tribe, 27-13, in their most recent game.

North Carolina vs. Virginia Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 6:30 PM ET
Location: Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
TV: The CW
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

North Carolina vs Virginia Betting Information updated as of October 21, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
North Carolina	-23.5 (-111)	-2675	+1160	58	-110	-110

North Carolina vs. Virginia Prediction

Pick ATS: North Carolina (-23.5)
Pick OU: Under (58)
Prediction: North Carolina 42, Virginia 16

Learn more about the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. the Virginia Cavaliers game on FOX Sports!

North Carolina vs. Virginia Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Tar Heels 41, Cavaliers 17.
The Tar Heels have a 96.4% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Cavaliers hold a 7.9% implied probability.
North Carolina has covered five times in six games with a spread this season.
Virginia has covered four times in six chances against the spread this year.

North Carolina vs. Virginia: Head-to-Head

Over their last two meetings, North Carolina has tallied two wins versus Virginia.
In their most recent two meetings, each team has covered one time with those games going over the total on one occasion.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, North Carolina has racked up 90 points against Virginia, while giving up only 67 points.

North Carolina vs. Virginia: 2023 Stats Comparison

	North Carolina	Virginia
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	37.3 (33)	22.3 (112)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	21 (27)	31.8 (93)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (11)	10 (74)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	11 (33)	7 (96)

North Carolina 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Drake Maye	QB	1,902 YDS (68.9%) / 12 TD / 4 INT 184 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 30.7 RUSH YPG
Omarion Hampton	RB	658 YDS / 8 TD / 109.7 YPG / 5.9 YPC 10 REC / 98 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 16.3 REC YPG
Kobe Paysour	WR	22 REC / 282 YDS / 3 TD / 47 YPG
Nate McCollum	WR	31 REC / 374 YDS / 1 TD / 62.3 YPG
Cedric Gray	LB	51 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT
Kaimon Rucker	LB	25 TKL / 9 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Power Echols	LB	42 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Alijah Huzzie	DB	22 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD

Virginia 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Malik Washington	WR	44 REC / 668 YDS / 5 TD / 111.3 YPG
Malachi Fields	WR	31 REC / 418 YDS / 2 TD / 69.7 YPG
Kobe Pace	RB	211 YDS / 1 TD / 35.2 YPG / 3.6 YPC 9 REC / 115 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 19.2 REC YPG
Anthony Colandrea	QB	923 YDS (61.8%) / 5 TD / 6 INT
Jonas Sanker	S	52 TKL / 1 TFL
James Jackson	LB	38 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Kameron Butler	DE	20 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Coen King	S	28 TKL / 0 TFL