Liberty vs. Missouri State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 8, 2025

Updated Nov. 8, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Liberty Flames (4-4) are 7.5-point favorites when they host the Missouri State Bears (5-3) in a CUSA matchup on Saturday, November 8, 2025 at Williams Stadium (VA). The point total for the game is set at 51.5.

The Flames beat the Delaware Blue Hens, 59-30, in their most recent contest. The Bears' most recent game was versus the Florida International Panthers, and they won by a score of 28-21.

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Liberty vs. Missouri State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET
Location: Williams Stadium (VA) in Lynchburg, Virginia
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Liberty vs Missouri State Betting Information updated as of November 8, 2025, 4:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Liberty	-7.5 (-110)	-308	+250	51.5	-108	-112

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Liberty vs. Missouri State Prediction

Pick ATS: Missouri State (+7.5)
Pick OU: Under (51.5)
Prediction: Liberty 28, Missouri State 21

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Liberty Flames vs. the Missouri State Bears game on FOX Sports!

Liberty vs. Missouri State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Flames 30, Bears 22.
The Flames have a 75.5% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears have a 28.6% implied probability.
Liberty has covered three times in eight games with a spread this season.
Missouri State has put together a 5-3-0 ATS record so far this year.

Liberty vs. Missouri State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Liberty	Missouri State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	24.1 (105)	22.8 (108)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.6 (38)	27 (70)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	12 (81)	12 (81)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	12 (46)	14 (29)

Liberty 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Ethan Vasko	QB	1,406 YDS (60.3%) / 8 TD / 5 INT 223 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 31.9 RUSH YPG
Evan Dickens	RB	611 YDS / 8 TD / 87.3 YPG / 6.1 YPC 4 REC / 59 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 14.8 REC YPG
Donte Lee Jr.	WR	23 REC / 436 YDS / 4 TD / 54.5 YPG
Julian Gray	RB	102 YDS / 1 TD / 17 YPG / 6 YPC 18 REC / 218 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 27.3 REC YPG
Joseph Carter	LB	32 TKL / 1 TFL
Derrell Farrar	LB	20 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
CJ Bazile Jr.	DL	13 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Damond Harmon	DB	22 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK

Missouri State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jacob Clark	QB	1,641 YDS (64.1%) / 13 TD / 8 INT 41 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 5.9 RUSH YPG
Shomari Lawrence	RB	550 YDS / 4 TD / 68.8 YPG / 4.9 YPC 11 REC / 66 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11 REC YPG
Ramone Green Jr.	RB	174 YDS / 0 TD / 21.8 YPG / 5.6 YPC 20 REC / 321 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 40.1 REC YPG
Jmariyae Robinson	WR	21 REC / 281 YDS / 3 TD / 40.1 YPG
Thomas Anderson	DB	32 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Kanye Young	LB	31 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Jalen Brooks	LB	38 TKL / 1 TFL
Jared Lloyd	LB	32 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK