Kansas State vs. UCF Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27, 2025

Updated Sep. 27, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

FOX Sports

The Kansas State Wildcats (1-3) are 5.5-point favorites when they host the UCF Knights (3-0) in conference action on Saturday, September 27, 2025 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. The over/under is set at 48.5.

Last time out, the Wildcats fell to the Arizona Wildcats, with 23-17 being the final score. Last time around, the Knights defeated the North Carolina Tar Heels, with 34-9 being the final score.

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Kansas State vs. UCF Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas
TV: Fox Sports 1
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Kansas State vs UCF Betting Information updated as of September 27, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Kansas State	-5.5 (-110)	-207	+172	48.5	-114	-106

Kansas State vs. UCF Prediction

Pick ATS: Kansas State (-5.5)
Pick OU: Under (48.5)
Prediction: Kansas State 24, UCF 16

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Kansas State Wildcats vs. the UCF Knights game on FOX Sports!

Kansas State vs. UCF Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Wildcats 27, Knights 22.
The Wildcats have a 67.4% chance to collect the win in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Knights have a 36.8% implied probability.
Kansas State is winless against the spread this season (0-4-0).
UCF has won two games against the spread this season.

Kansas State vs. UCF: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Kansas State	UCF
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	24.3 (84)	39.7 (63)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	26.5 (92)	8.7 (4)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (74)	1 (5)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	5 (50)	6 (27)

Kansas State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Avery Johnson	QB	851 YDS (60.6%) / 6 TD / 1 INT 62 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 15.5 RUSH YPG
Jayce Brown	WR	25 REC / 284 YDS / 2 TD / 71 YPG
Jaron Tibbs	WR	13 REC / 157 YDS / 2 TD / 39.3 YPG
DeVon Rice	RB	77 YDS / 2 TD / 25.7 YPG / 4.3 YPC 2 REC / 27 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.5 REC YPG
Tobi Osunsanmi	DL	11 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Austin Romaine	LB	26 TKL / 1 TFL
Cody Stufflebean	DL	9 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK
Mar'Quavious Moss	DB	9 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT

UCF 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Tayven Jackson	QB	694 YDS (70.1%) / 3 TD / 0 INT 72 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 24 RUSH YPG
Jaden Nixon	RB	160 YDS / 3 TD / 53.3 YPG / 14.5 YPC 5 REC / 37 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 18.5 REC YPG
Myles Montgomery	RB	149 YDS / 1 TD / 49.7 YPG / 3.6 YPC 6 REC / 104 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 34.7 REC YPG
Jacurri Brown	QB	15 YDS (66.7%) / 0 TD / 0 INT 137 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 68.5 RUSH YPG
Lewis Carter	LB	18 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Nyjalik Kelly	DL	7 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Phillip Dunnam	DB	14 TKL / 1 TFL
Antoine Jackson	DB	8 TKL / 0 TFL