James Madison vs. Troy Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 5, 2025

Updated Dec. 5, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The oddsmakers think the Sun Belt Championship Game between the James Madison Dukes and Troy Trojans will be a blowout, with the Dukes expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -23.5). The action starts at 7 p.m. ET on December 5, 2025, airing on ESPN from Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field in Harrisonburg, Virginia. An over/under of 46.5 is set for the contest.

The Dukes won against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in their most recent game, 59-10. The Trojans won against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles in their last game, 28-18.

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James Madison vs. Troy Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, December 5, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
Location: Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field in Harrisonburg, Virginia
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

James Madison vs Troy Betting Information updated as of December 5, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
James Madison	-23.5 (-114)	-2857	+1270	46.5	-111	-109

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James Madison vs. Troy Prediction

Pick ATS: James Madison (-23.5)
Pick OU: Over (46.5)
Prediction: James Madison 39, Troy 12

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the James Madison Dukes vs. the Troy Trojans game on FOX Sports!

James Madison vs. Troy Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Dukes 35, Trojans 12.
The Dukes have a 96.6% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Trojans hold a 7.3% implied probability.
James Madison has put together an 8-4-0 ATS record so far this year.
Troy has covered eight times in 12 games with a spread this season.

James Madison vs. Troy: 2025 Stats Comparison

	James Madison	Troy
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	37.8 (10)	25.2 (86)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	16 (10)	23.9 (63)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	14 (53)	15 (67)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	14 (78)	15 (64)

James Madison 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Alonza Barnett III	QB	2,440 YDS (61.6%) / 20 TD / 7 INT 459 RUSH YDS / 13 RUSH TD / 38.3 RUSH YPG
Wayne Knight	RB	1,051 YDS / 8 TD / 87.6 YPG / 6.2 YPC 35 REC / 368 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 30.7 REC YPG
Landon Ellis	WR	32 REC / 532 YDS / 5 TD / 53.2 YPG
Jordan Fuller	RB	415 YDS / 5 TD / 51.9 YPG / 5.1 YPC
Trent Hendrick	LB	39 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Jacob Thomas	DB	31 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT
Aiden Gobaira	DL	20 TKL / 7 TFL / 4 SACK
Xavier Holmes	DL	13 TKL / 3 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT

Troy 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Tucker Kilcrease	QB	1,414 YDS (60.3%) / 9 TD / 4 INT 131 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 14.6 RUSH YPG
Tae Meadows	RB	685 YDS / 5 TD / 62.3 YPG / 4.5 YPC
Will Crowder	QB	1,118 YDS (62.2%) / 11 TD / 5 INT 37 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 7.4 RUSH YPG
Rara Thomas	WR	31 REC / 495 YDS / 5 TD / 41.3 YPG
Devin Lafayette	DB	93 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT
Jordan Stringer	LB	98 TKL / 9 TFL / 2 SACK
Donnie Smith		36 TKL / 8 TFL / 9 SACK
Jaquez White	DB	52 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT