Fresno State vs. Nevada Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4, 2025

Updated Oct. 4, 2025 9:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Fresno State Bulldogs (4-1) host the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-3) on Saturday, October 4, 2025 in a matchup between MWC opponents at Valley Children's Stadium. Nevada is a 13.5-point underdog. A total of 45.5 points has been set for this game.

The Bulldogs' most recent game was against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, and they won by a score of 23-21. The Wolf Pack lost versus the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in their last game, 31-16.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Fresno State vs. Nevada Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 10:30 p.m. ET
Location: Valley Children's Stadium in Fresno, California
TV: CBS Sports Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Fresno State vs Nevada Betting Information updated as of October 4, 2025, 8:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Fresno State	-13.5 (-110)	-524	+392	45.5	-111	-109

Fresno State vs. Nevada Prediction

Pick ATS: Fresno State (-13.5)
Pick OU: Over (45.5)
Prediction: Fresno State 39, Nevada 8

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Fresno State Bulldogs vs. the Nevada Wolf Pack game on FOX Sports!

Fresno State vs. Nevada Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Bulldogs 30, Wolf Pack 16.
The Bulldogs have an 84.0% chance to claim victory in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Wolf Pack have a 20.3% implied probability.
Fresno State has put together a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season.
Nevada has covered once in four chances against the spread this season.

Fresno State vs. Nevada: Head-to-Head

In their past four head-to-head bouts, Fresno State has defeated Nevada four times.
The Bulldogs and the Wolf Pack have matched up evenly over their last four contests, sporting a split 2-2 record against the spread. In those four head-to-head matchups, the two squads have eclipsed the over on the total on two occasions.
Over their last four head-to-head matchups, Fresno State has racked up 126 points, while Nevada has accumulated 76.

Fresno State vs. Nevada: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Fresno State	Nevada
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	32.8 (43)	15 (132)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	20 (48)	27 (60)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	9 (115)	10 (125)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	7 (43)	4 (102)

Fresno State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Rayshon Luke	RB	258 YDS / 5 TD / 51.6 YPG / 5.7 YPC 15 REC / 97 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.4 REC YPG
E.J. Warner	QB	946 YDS (73.2%) / 5 TD / 5 INT 90 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 18 RUSH YPG
Bryson Donelson	RB	326 YDS / 3 TD / 65.2 YPG / 5 YPC 12 REC / 98 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 19.6 REC YPG
Elijah Gilliam	RB	101 YDS / 2 TD / 20.2 YPG / 5.9 YPC
Jadon Pearson	LB	42 TKL / 1 TFL
Finn Claypool	DL	17 TKL / 2 TFL / 2.5 SACK
K'Vion Thunderbird	LB	22 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Simeon Harris	DB	15 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Nevada 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Chubba Purdy	QB	494 YDS (54.8%) / 1 TD / 6 INT 276 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 69 RUSH YPG
Marcus Bellon	WR	14 REC / 181 YDS / 1 TD / 45.3 YPG
Herschel Turner	RB	215 YDS / 0 TD / 53.8 YPG / 4.9 YPC
Caleb Ramseur	RB	159 YDS / 0 TD / 39.8 YPG / 5 YPC 4 REC / 29 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.5 REC YPG
Dylan Labarbera	DL	10 TKL / 5 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Nelson Ropati	DL	4 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Jonathan Maldonado	DL	6 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Stone Combs	LB	9 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK