
Florida vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 18, 2025
Updated Oct. 18, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-2) are 9.5-point underdogs in a home SEC matchup against the Florida Gators (2-4) on Saturday, October 18, 2025 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The over/under is 50.5 in this game.
In their most recent action, the Gators lost against the Texas A&M Aggies, 34-17. The Bulldogs lost to the Texas A&M Aggies, 31-9, in their most recent game.
Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.
Florida vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 4:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida
- TV: SEC Network
- Live Box Score on FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread (Odds) | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Moneyline | Under Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | -9.5 (-112) | -362 | +284 | 50.5 | -112 | -108 |
Florida vs. Mississippi State Prediction
- Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+9.5)
- Pick OU: Under (50.5)
- Prediction: Florida 25, Mississippi State 20
Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.
Learn more about the Florida Gators vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!
Florida vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights
- Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Gators 30, Bulldogs 20.
- The Gators have a 78.4% chance to win this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs hold a 26.0% implied probability.
- Florida has covered twice in six chances against the spread this season.
- Mississippi State has covered five times in six matchups with a spread this year.
Florida vs. Mississippi State: 2025 Stats Comparison
| Florida | Mississippi State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 22.3 (107) | 33.7 (51) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 19.8 (34) | 19.8 (34) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 10 (105) | 6 (35) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 7 (72) | 11 (19) |
Florida 2025 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Jadan Baugh | RB | 461 YDS / 3 TD / 76.8 YPG / 4.9 YPC 17 REC / 94 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 23.5 REC YPG |
| DJ Lagway | QB | 1,233 YDS (66.5%) / 9 TD / 7 INT |
| Vernell Brown III | WR | 27 REC / 368 YDS / 0 TD / 61.3 YPG |
| Dallas Wilson | WR | 9 REC / 131 YDS / 3 TD / 65.5 YPG |
| Myles Graham | LB | 32 TKL / 2 TFL |
| Bryce Thornton | DB | 24 TKL / 1 TFL |
| Jordan Castell | DB | 21 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD |
| Devin Moore | DB | 19 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT |
Mississippi State 2025 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Da'Marion Bothwell | RB | 465 YDS / 6 TD / 77.5 YPG / 5.5 YPC |
| Blake Shapen | QB | 1,204 YDS (66.7%) / 9 TD / 4 INT 17 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 2.8 RUSH YPG |
| Brenen Thompson | WR | 22 REC / 378 YDS / 4 TD / 63 YPG |
| Davon Booth | RB | 265 YDS / 4 TD / 44.2 YPG / 4.5 YPC |
| Jahron Manning | DB | 40 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD |
| Zakari Tillman | LB | 28 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT |
| Brylan Lanier | DB | 24 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD |
| Isaac Smith | DB | 26 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?
FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
share
recommended
How to Watch NASCAR at Las Vegas: TV Channel, Streaming, Time
2026 NCAA Tournament Projections: Florida Still a No. 1 Seed? Miami (OH) In or Out?
2026 World Baseball Classic Bracket, Schedule, Standings
4 Takeaways From Inaugural Arlington Race: Kyle Kirkwood Wins With Big-Time Move
The Oscars Betting Odds 2026: Predictions for Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and More
2026 NCAA Men’s Tournament: 5 Biggest March Madness Snubs
Everything To Know For Inaugural INDYCAR Race Around Cowboys' Stadium, Including New Time
Selection Sunday: How to Watch March Madness Men's Bracket Reveal
Jerry Jones Compares Pato O'Ward's 'Controlled Intensity' to Deion Sanders' Approach
Item 1 of 3
recommended
How to Watch NASCAR at Las Vegas: TV Channel, Streaming, Time
2026 NCAA Tournament Projections: Florida Still a No. 1 Seed? Miami (OH) In or Out?
2026 World Baseball Classic Bracket, Schedule, Standings
4 Takeaways From Inaugural Arlington Race: Kyle Kirkwood Wins With Big-Time Move
The Oscars Betting Odds 2026: Predictions for Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and More
2026 NCAA Men’s Tournament: 5 Biggest March Madness Snubs
Everything To Know For Inaugural INDYCAR Race Around Cowboys' Stadium, Including New Time
Selection Sunday: How to Watch March Madness Men's Bracket Reveal
Jerry Jones Compares Pato O'Ward's 'Controlled Intensity' to Deion Sanders' Approach
Item 1 of 3
FOX SPORTS™, SPEED™, SPEED.COM™ & © 2026 Fox Media LLC
and Fox Sports Interactive Media, LLC. All rights reserved. Use of this
website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your
acceptance of these
Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | Advertising Choices | Your Privacy Choices | Closed Captioning
