Baylor vs. UCF Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 1, 2025

Updated Nov. 1, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Baylor Bears (4-4) take the fifth-ranked passing attack in college football into a matchup with the UCF Knights (4-3), who have the No. 6 passing defense, on Saturday, November 1, 2025. The Bears are 3.5-point favorites. The point total is set at 59.5 for the game.

Last time out, the Bears fell to the Cincinnati Bearcats, with 41-20 being the final score. The Knights won versus the West Virginia Mountaineers in their last game, 45-13.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Baylor vs. UCF Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas
TV: ESPNU
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Baylor vs UCF Betting Information updated as of November 1, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Baylor	-3.5 (-104)	-162	+136	59.5	-109	-111

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Baylor vs. UCF Prediction

Pick ATS: UCF (+3.5)
Pick OU: Under (59.5)
Prediction: Baylor 29, UCF 27

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Baylor Bears vs. the UCF Knights game on FOX Sports!

Baylor vs. UCF Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Bears 32, Knights 28.
The Bears have a 61.8% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Knights hold a 42.4% implied probability.
Baylor has won just one game against the spread this season.
UCF has compiled a 4-3-0 record against the spread this season.

Baylor vs. UCF: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Baylor	UCF
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	34.3 (28)	30.7 (72)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	32.6 (117)	17.1 (11)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	16 (127)	8 (37)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	7 (105)	8 (85)

Baylor 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Sawyer Robertson	QB	2,513 YDS (61.7%) / 23 TD / 7 INT 5 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 0.6 RUSH YPG
Bryson Washington	RB	603 YDS / 6 TD / 75.4 YPG / 5 YPC 14 REC / 75 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 9.4 REC YPG
Michael Trigg	TE	35 REC / 525 YDS / 5 TD / 65.6 YPG
Josh Cameron	WR	44 REC / 576 YDS / 4 TD / 72 YPG
Keaton Thomas	LB	60 TKL / 1 TFL
Devyn Bobby	DB	40 TKL / 0 TFL
Jacob Redding	DB	29 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Jackie Marshall	DL	23 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK

UCF 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jaden Nixon	RB	405 YDS / 6 TD / 57.9 YPG / 12.7 YPC 10 REC / 54 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.8 REC YPG
Tayven Jackson	QB	1,183 YDS (65.2%) / 5 TD / 2 INT 65 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 10.8 RUSH YPG
Myles Montgomery	RB	522 YDS / 3 TD / 74.6 YPG / 5.2 YPC 12 REC / 128 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 18.3 REC YPG
Cam Fancher	QB	333 YDS (56.9%) / 0 TD / 0 INT 170 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 56.7 RUSH YPG
Nyjalik Kelly	DL	29 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT
Lewis Carter	LB	43 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Cole Kozlowski	LB	32 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Phillip Dunnam	DB	37 TKL / 2 TFL