Baylor vs. Kansas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4, 2025

Updated Oct. 4, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oddsmakers give the Baylor Bears (3-2) the edge when they host the Kansas State Wildcats (2-3) on Saturday, October 4, 2025 in a matchup between Big 12 opponents at McLane Stadium. Baylor is favored by 5.5 points. The total is 60.5 points for this matchup.

The Bears won versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game, 45-27. The Wildcats beat the UCF Knights, 34-20, in their last game.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Baylor vs. Kansas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Baylor vs Kansas State Betting Information updated as of October 4, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Baylor	-5.5 (-110)	-202	+168	60.5	-108	-112

Baylor vs. Kansas State Prediction

Pick ATS: Kansas State (+5.5)
Pick OU: Under (60.5)
Prediction: Baylor 31, Kansas State 27

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Baylor Bears vs. the Kansas State Wildcats game on FOX Sports!

Baylor vs. Kansas State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Bears 33, Wildcats 28.
The Bears have a 66.9% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Wildcats have a 37.3% implied probability.
Baylor has won just one game against the spread this season.
Kansas State has covered just once in five games with a spread this year.

Baylor vs. Kansas State: Head-to-Head

Over their last three meetings, Kansas State has tallied two wins versus Baylor.
In those games versus Baylor, the Wildcats have covered two times while going over the point total on one occasion.
Baylor has been outscored by 52 points in its last three tilts against Kansas State.

Baylor vs. Kansas State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Baylor	Kansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	36.6 (20)	26.2 (73)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	28.8 (110)	25.2 (92)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (114)	6 (74)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	5 (71)	8 (24)

Baylor 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Sawyer Robertson	QB	1,713 YDS (63.6%) / 17 TD / 3 INT 9 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 1.8 RUSH YPG
Bryson Washington	RB	492 YDS / 5 TD / 98.4 YPG / 5.3 YPC
Kobe Prentice	WR	16 REC / 235 YDS / 5 TD / 47 YPG
Josh Cameron	WR	27 REC / 407 YDS / 3 TD / 81.4 YPG
Keaton Thomas	LB	35 TKL / 0 TFL
DJ Coleman	DB	15 TKL / 2 TFL
Jackie Marshall	DL	10 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Devyn Bobby	DB	19 TKL / 0 TFL

Kansas State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Avery Johnson	QB	1,019 YDS (62.5%) / 8 TD / 1 INT 137 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 27.4 RUSH YPG
Jayce Brown	WR	25 REC / 284 YDS / 2 TD / 71 YPG
Jaron Tibbs	WR	21 REC / 229 YDS / 2 TD / 45.8 YPG
Joe Jackson	RB	142 YDS / 1 TD / 35.5 YPG / 4.1 YPC 5 REC / 30 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 7.5 REC YPG
Tobi Osunsanmi	DL	14 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK
Austin Romaine	LB	30 TKL / 2 TFL
Mar'Quavious Moss	DB	11 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT
Zashon Rich	DB	19 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK