TCU vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 23, 2024 1:27 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

An opening-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the No. 9-seed TCU Horned Frogs (21-12) hit the court against the No. 8 seed Utah State Aggies (27-6) on Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The contest starts at 9:55 PM ET, on TBS.

The Horned Frogs, who are favored by 4 points, are set to take on the Aggies. The over/under for the game is set at 149.5.

Continue scrolling to get all you need to know before wagering on the TCU-Utah State game.

TCU vs. Utah State Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, March 22, 2024 at 9:55 PM ET
Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
How to Watch on TV: TBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Horned Frogs vs Aggies Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Horned Frogs	-4	-110	-110	149.5	-112	-108	-198	+164

TCU vs. Utah State Prediction

Pick ATS: Utah State (+4)
Pick OU: Over (149.5)
Prediction: Utah State 76, TCU 75

Learn more about the TCU Horned Frogs vs. the Utah State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

TCU vs. Utah State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Horned Frogs 77, Aggies 73.
The Horned Frogs have a 66.4% chance to collect the win in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Aggies have a 37.9% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

TCU has covered 19 times in 33 games with a spread this season.
Utah State has put together a 14-15-2 record against the spread this season.
TCU has been favored by 4 points or more 20 times this season, and covered the spread in 13 of those games.
Utah State has not covered the spread this season (0-5 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

The Horned Frogs and their opponent have broken the 149.5-point mark 15 times this year.
There have been 13 Aggies games this season with more than 149.5 points scored.
These two teams score a combined average of 159.0 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 9.5 points.

Key Moneyline Facts

TCU has been the moneyline favorite 16 times this season. They've gone 11-5 in those games.
Utah State has been underdogs in six games this season and won one (16.7%) of those contests.
TCU has gone 8-3 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -198 or shorter (winning 72.7%).
Utah State has not won as an underdog of +164 or more on the moneyline this season in five games with those odds or longer.

TCU vs. Utah State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	TCU	Utah State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	79.2 (52)	79.8 (43)
Points Allowed (Rank)	71.2 (155)	70.3 (123)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.8 (34)	8.1 (230)
3pt Made (Rank)	6.6 (258)	6.3 (290)
Assists (Rank)	16.9 (17)	16.4 (24)
Turnovers (Rank)	12.1 (269)	10.8 (131)

TCU 2023-24 Key Players

Horned Frogs Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Emanuel Miller	33	15.9	5.9	2.6	1.1	0.4	0.9
Jameer Nelson Jr.	33	11.4	2.6	3.3	2.0	0.4	1.0
Micah Peavy	33	11.1	4.9	2.7	1.3	0.2	0.8
JaKobe Coles	30	9.7	3.8	1.4	0.7	0.4	0.8
Trey Tennyson	33	8.6	2.3	1.8	0.9	0.2	1.9

Utah State 2023-24 Key Players

Aggies Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Great Osobor	33	18.0	9.2	2.9	1.3	1.5	0.1
Ian Martinez	32	13.1	3.7	1.7	0.9	0.8	1.5
Darius Brown II	33	12.4	4.4	6.5	1.5	0.2	1.8
Mason Falslev	32	11.4	4.3	2.4	1.3	0.2	0.7
Josh Uduje	33	8.5	2.7	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.8