Purdue vs. Michigan State Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Feb 26

Published Feb. 25, 2026 3:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 8 Purdue Boilermakers (22-5, 12-4 Big Ten) are at home in Big Ten action against the No. 13 Michigan State Spartans (22-5, 12-4 Big Ten) on Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET.

The Boilermakers are a 5.5-point favorite against the Spartans when the Boilermakers and the Spartans square off. The matchup's point total is set at 139.5.

Keep reading to get the details ahead of placing bets on the Purdue-Michigan State clash.

Purdue vs. Michigan State How to Watch & Odds

When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
Where: Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana
TV: Peacock
Live Box Score: FOX Sports

Boilermakers vs Spartans Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Boilermakers	-5.5	-110	-110	139.5	-105	-115	-280	+225

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Purdue vs. Michigan State Prediction

Pick ATS: Michigan State (+5.5)
Pick OU: Over (139.5)
Prediction: Purdue 77, Michigan State 72

Learn more about the Purdue Boilermakers vs. the Michigan State Spartans game on FOX Sports!

Purdue vs. Michigan State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Boilermakers 72, Spartans 67.
The Boilermakers have a 73.7% chance to collect the win in this matchup per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Spartans sit with a 30.8% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Purdue has won 13 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
Michigan State has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
When playing as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, Purdue has an ATS record of 9-11.

Key Total Facts

Boilermakers games have finished with more than 139.5 points 19 times so far this season.
Spartans games have finished with over 139.5 points scored 17 times this season.
The Boilermakers and Spartans combine to average 161.3 points per contest, which is 21.8 more than the total for this game.

Key Moneyline Facts

Purdue has put together a 19-4 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 82.6% of those games).
Michigan State has won one of the four games it has played as underdogs this season.
Purdue has won all 16 games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -280 or shorter.
Michigan State has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +225.

Purdue vs. Michigan State: Recent Results

Boilermakers vs Spartans Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
2/18/2025	Spartans	-3.5	148.5	-162	+136	75-66 MST

Purdue vs. Michigan State: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

	Purdue	Michigan State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	82.9 (48)	78.4 (126)
Points Allowed (Rank)	69.3 (65)	66.1 (19)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.1 (95)	11.4 (21)
3pt Made (Rank)	9.3 (71)	7.6 (198)
Assists (Rank)	19.7 (3)	18.6 (9)
Turnovers (Rank)	8.8 (9)	11.0 (186)

Purdue 2025-26 Key Players

Boilermakers Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Braden Smith	27	14.9	3.8	8.7	1.9	0.2	1.7
Fletcher Loyer	27	13.6	2.3	1.8	0.6	0.0	2.6
Trey Kaufman-Renn	25	13.3	9.0	2.7	0.4	0.2	0.1
Oscar Cluff	27	10.1	7.3	1.7	0.4	0.7	0.0
C.J. Cox	27	7.9	2.4	1.3	0.6	0.1	1.4

Michigan State 2025-26 Key Players

Spartans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jeremy Fears Jr.	27	15.0	2.5	9.2	1.3	0.0	0.9
Jaxon Kohler	27	12.3	9.3	1.1	0.6	0.8	1.6
Coen Carr	27	11.6	5.4	1.3	0.5	0.9	0.6
Carson Cooper	27	10.3	7.3	1.4	0.6	1.0	0.0
Kur Teng	27	7.0	2.0	1.0	0.3	0.1	1.4