Michigan State vs. North Carolina Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Nov 27

Michigan State vs. North Carolina Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Nov 27

Updated Nov. 27, 2025 3:27 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The No. 11 Michigan State Spartans (6-0) will try to extend a six-game win streak when they host the No. 16 North Carolina Tar Heels (6-0) at 4:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 27, 2025. The Tar Heels have also won six games in a row.

The Spartans are a slight 1.5-point favorite against the Tar Heels. The point total for the game is set at 152.5.

Continue scrolling to get all you need to know ahead of betting on the Michigan State-North Carolina matchup.

Michigan State vs. North Carolina How to Watch & Odds

Spartans vs Tar Heels Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Spartans -1.5 -103 -118 152.5 -111 -109 -117 -103

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Michigan State vs. North Carolina Prediction

  • Pick ATS: North Carolina (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (152.5)
  • Prediction: North Carolina 75, Michigan State 72

Learn more about the Michigan State Spartans vs. the North Carolina Tar Heels game on FOX Sports!

Michigan State vs. North Carolina Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Spartans 77, Tar Heels 76.
  • The Spartans have a 53.9% chance to win this matchup per the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Tar Heels have a 50.7% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

  • Michigan State has compiled a 3-3-0 record against the spread this season.
  • North Carolina has covered four times in six chances against the spread this season.
  • Michigan State has covered the spread twice when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in five opportunities).

Key Total Facts

  • The Spartans and their opponent have not scored more than 152.5 points combined in a game this year.
  • Tar Heels games have finished with over 152.5 points scored three times this year.
  • The Spartans and Tar Heels average 168.2 points per game combined, which is 15.7 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Key Moneyline Facts

  • Michigan State has not lost a game it was the moneyline favorite this season, going 5-0.
  • North Carolina has not played a game this season while listed as the underdog.
  • Michigan State has won all five games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -117 or shorter.
  • North Carolina has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than -103.

Michigan State vs. North Carolina: Recent Results

Spartans vs Tar Heels Recent Games
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
11/27/2024 Tar Heels -5.5 157.5 -243 +197 94-91 MST

Michigan State vs. North Carolina: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

Michigan State North Carolina
Points Scored Per Game (Rank) 80.7 (144) 87.5 (57)
Points Allowed (Rank) 62.2 (17) 64.3 (36)
Rebounds (Rank) 13.5 (13) 10.7 (112)
3pt Made (Rank) 7.5 (215) 8.8 (123)
Assists (Rank) 21.2 (4) 17.7 (45)
Turnovers (Rank) 11.2 (134) 11.7 (162)

Michigan State 2025-26 Key Players

Spartans Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jaxon Kohler 6 15.3 9.5 1.5 0.8 1 1.7
Coen Carr 6 11.2 5.3 2.5 1 1.2 0.7
Jeremy Fears Jr. 6 10.8 3.7 10.2 2 0 1.2
Carson Cooper 6 10 5.8 1.3 1.2 0.8 0
Cam Ward 6 8.7 5.7 0.5 0.5 0 0

North Carolina 2025-26 Key Players

Tar Heels Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Caleb Wilson 6 20.5 10.3 2.3 1.7 1.5 0.3
Henri Veesaar 6 16.3 8.7 2 0.5 1.7 0.8
Seth Trimble 2 14.5 5 3.5 1 0 0
Luka Bogavac 6 12.2 2.8 3.2 0.8 0 2
Kyan Evans 6 8.5 3.3 4.8 1.2 0 1.8

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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