National Football League

Week 16 Team OddsShark SuperContest NFL Tips and Trends

Updated Mar. 5, 2020 12:55 a.m. ET

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Each week during the 2015 NFL season, FOX Sports fantasy editor Ryan Fowler and WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine, both part of Team OddsShark, will share three of their five Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest picks. Deadline for entering picks is 8pm ET Fridays.

Follow Team OddsShark's performance all season long with weekly picks (posted each Saturday afternoon) and current standings.

Picks subject to change after initial publication.

Ryan Fowler Week 16 Picks

Steelers (-10) over the Ravens

Patriots (-3) over the Jets

WhatIfSports NFL Simulation Week 16 Picks

Rams (+13.5) cover against Seahawks

In Week 1, St. Louis beat Seattle in overtime. Sure, a lot has changed for both teams since then, but we think the 13.5-point spread is aggressive. In 501 simulations, the Seahawks were victorious 75.0 percent of the time, beating the Rams by an average score of 27-18. The Rams covered the spread 64.1 percent of the time. View the box score.

Panthers (-6.5) cover against Falcons

Last week, the Panthers burned us, giving up 21 fourth-quarter points to the Giants and failing to cover the spread in their three-point victory. We’re not holding a grudge though, and we’ll take the Panthers again in Week 16. We simulated Panthers vs. Falcons and Carolina came out on top 79.8 percent of the time, winning by an average score of 27-15. View the box score.

Colts (-1.5) upset Dolphins

Indianapolis has dropped three in a row, but we’re predicting a change of fortunes in Week 16. Miami has had its shares of struggles and is ripe for an upset. We played the two teams head-to-head 501 times to predict the outcome and Indy won 55.2 percent of simulations, covering the spread 59.1 percent of the time. (The simulations were conducted with a 2.5-point spread). View the box score. 

Week 16 NFL Betting Trends (Courtesy: Team OddsShark)

CHARGERS AT RAIDERS

The visiting team is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games in this matchup.

The total has gone under in seven of the Chargers' last nine games as underdogs.

The Chargers are 3-0 ATS in their last three games as underdogs against the Raiders.

The Chargers are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games after a win.

The total has gone under in the Chargers' last five games after a win.

The Chargers are 0-3 SU in their last three games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

The Raiders are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games as favorites.

The Raiders are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games as home favorites.

The Raiders are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five games after winning the previous game in a matchup.

REDSKINS AT EAGLES

The Redskins are 3-0 ATS in their last three games as underdogs against the Eagles.

The favored team is 0-3 ATS in its last three games in this matchup.

The Redskins are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games.

The total has gone over in three of the Redskins' last four games on the road.

The Redskins are 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after a win.

The Eagles are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four games at home.

The Eagles are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games as home favorites.

The total has gone under in three of the Eagles' last four games against their division.

49ERS AT LIONS

The 49ers are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games on the road against the Lions.

The 49ers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games.

The 49ers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against the NFC North division.

The Lions are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the NFC West division.

The 49ers are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after winning the previous game in a matchup.

The Lions are 6-2 SU and ATS in their last 8 after losing the previous game in a matchup.

The total has gone over in five of the Lions' last six games at home.

The Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as favorites.

The Lions are 7-1 SU in their last eight games as home favorites.

BEARS AT BUCCANEERS

The Bears are 4-1 SU in their last five games against the Buccaneers.

The visiting team is 4-1 ATS in its last five games in this matchup.

The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six games on the road.

The Buccaneers are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four games.

The total has gone under in the Buccaneers' last three games at home.

The Buccaneers are 2-5 SU and ATS in their last seven games as favorites.

The Buccaneers are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games after a loss.

BROWNS AT CHIEFS

The Browns are 3-0 ATS in their last three games as underdogs against the Chiefs.

The Browns are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road.

The Browns are 0-3 SU in their last three games against the AFC West division.

The Browns are 2-7 SU in their last nine games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

The Chiefs are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games after winning the previous game in a matchup.

The Chiefs are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.

The total has gone over in three of the Chiefs' last four games.

The Chiefs are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after a win.

The total has gone over in three of the Chiefs' last four games after a win.

COLTS AT DOLPHINS

The Colts are 4-1 SU in their last five games against the Dolphins.

The total has gone over in four of the Colts' last five games against the Dolphins.

The visiting team is 5-1 ATS in its last six games in this matchup.

The Colts are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games.

The Colts are 5-16 SU in their last 21 games after consecutive losses.

The Dolphins are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last five games.

The Dolphins are 2-5 SU in their last seven games at home.

The Dolphins are 0-3 ATS in their last three games after a loss.

The Dolphins are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games after winning the previous game in a matchup.

COWBOYS AT BILLS

The visiting team is 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games in this matchup.

The Cowboys are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games.

The Cowboys are 2-5 SU in their last seven games as underdogs in December.

The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in Week 16.

The Bills are 1-4 SU in their last five games.

The total has gone over in the Bills' last three games at home.

The Bills are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games after a loss.

The Bills are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games after losing as favorite.

GIANTS AT VIKINGS

The Giants are 1-4 SU in their last five games.

The total has gone over in six of the Giants' last eight games.

The Vikings are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games as favorites.

The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against the NFC North division.

The Vikings are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games.

The Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the NFC East division.

The Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after a win.

The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games on the road against the Vikings.

The visiting team is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games in this matchup.

The favored team is 4-0 SU in its last four games in this matchup.

JAGUARS AT SAINTS (trends written before Monday night’s game)

The Jaguars are 0-3 ATS in their last three games against the Saints.

The favored team is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in its last five games in this matchup.

The Jaguars are 1-14 SU in their last 15 games on the road.

The Jaguars are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as underdogs.

The Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

The Saints are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games as favorites.

The Saints are 2-9 SU and 1-8-1 ATS in their last nine games as home favorites.

The Saints are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games after a win.

The Saints are 2-7 SU and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 after winning the previous game in a matchup.

PACKERS AT CARDINALS

The Packers are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games.

The total has gone under in eight of the Packers' last 11 games.

The Packers are 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as road underdogs.

The Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs in December.

The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the NFC West division.

The Packers are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games after winning the previous game in a matchup.

The Cardinals are 8-0 SU in their last eight games.

The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last four games at home.

The Cardinals are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the NFC North division.

The Cardinals are 6-0 SU in their last six games after consecutive wins.

PANTHERS AT FALCONS

The visiting team is 1-5 ATS in its last six games in this matchup.

The Falcons are 1-3 SU in their last four games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

The Panthers are 5-0 SU in their last five games after winning the previous game in a matchup.

The Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.

The total has gone over in four of the Panthers' last five games.

The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after an ATS loss.

The Falcons are 1-6 SU in their last seven games.

The Falcons are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games.

The Falcons are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games against their division.

PATRIOTS AT JETS

The Patriots are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Jets.

The favored team is 3-0 SU in its last three games in this matchup.

The total has gone over in three of the Patriots' last four games.

The Patriots are 8-1 SU in their last nine games on the road.

The Jets are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games.

The Jets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games at home.

The Jets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as underdogs.

The Jets are 1-4 SU in their last five games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

RAMS AT SEAHAWKS 

The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Seahawks.

The visiting team is 0-4 SU in its last four games in this matchup.

The visiting team is 0-5 ATS in its last five games in this matchup.

The total has gone under in eight of the Rams' last 10 games.

The Rams are 3-1 ATS in their last four games against their division.

The Rams are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games after a win.

The Rams are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last 4 after winning the previous game in a matchup.

The Seahawks are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games.

The Seahawks are 25-5 SU in their last 30 games at home.

The Seahawks are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last nine games against their division.

The Seahawks are 9-0 SU in their last nine games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

STEELERS AT RAVENS

The Steelers are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games on the road against the Ravens.

The Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on the road against the Ravens.

The favored team is 5-1 SU in its last six games in this matchup.

The total has gone over in the Steelers' last four games.

The Steelers are 10-0 SU and 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games in December.

The Steelers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as road favorites.

The Ravens are 0-3 SU in their last three games.

The Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs.

The total has gone over in three of the Ravens' last four games against their division.

The Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games after a loss.

TEXANS AT TITANS

The Texans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against the Titans.

The visiting team is 1-4 SU in its last five games in this matchup.

The Texans are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven games.

The Texans are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games against their division.

The Titans are 3-21 SU in their last 24 games.

The Titans are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games at home.

The Titans are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games against their division.

The Titans are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games after a loss.

BENGALS AT BRONCOS

The Bengals are 0-8 SU in their last eight games on the road against the Broncos.

The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as underdogs against the Broncos.

The Bengals are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last seven games on the road.

The Bengals are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven games after winning the previous game in a matchup.

The Broncos are 20-8 SU in their last 28 games.

The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as favorites.

The Broncos are 0-3 ATS in their last three games as home favorites.

The Broncos are 1-3 ATS in their last four games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

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