National Football League
National Football League

Dolphins vs. Patriots Thursday Night Football Betting Preview

Updated Sep. 29, 2022 11:47 a.m. ET

Special to Outkick The Coverage from

Still unbeaten on the season, the New England Patriots are listed as 8-point favorites at sportsbooks monitored by for their matchup on Thursday Night Football against the division-rival Miami Dolphins.

Tom Brady and company have started the year with six straight-up victories in a row, including last week's 30-23 home win over the New York Jets in which they managed to just push the 7-point spread at the sportsbooks. So while the Patriots are 6-0 SU on the season, they've only been a middle of the road betting option at 3-1-2 against the spread in six games.

Brady completed 34 of his 54 pass attempts for 355 yards in the win over the Jets, with two touchdown passes, no interceptions, and one touchdown run. For the season, the Patriots quarterback and MVP candidate has thrown 16 touchdown passes with just one interception.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins are 3-3 both SU and ATS on the season, getting their campaign back on track over the past two weeks with a 38-10 win at Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog and a 44-26 win hosting Houston as a 4-point favorite. Miami trails New England by three games in the AFC East standings, and they're also one game behind the Jets in the division.

Last season the Dolphins beat the Patriots 33-20 as a 3.5-point home underdog in their first meeting of the year in September, but New England bounced back with a 41-13 pounding of Miami as a 9-point home favorite in December. Both of those games were OVER results.

Overall the Patriots are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against the Dolphins dating back to 2010 according to the OddsShark NFL Database, and the NFL betting trends for the week also point out that New England is 20-0 SU in its last 20 home games in October.


New England, however, is just 0-3-1 ATS in its last four games played at home on a Thursday night, while Miami is a lucrative 8-1 ATS in its last nine Week 8 games.

Kickoff for the game is set for 8:25pm ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro. Check out the complete Dolphins vs. Patriots matchup report at


Get more from National Football League Follow your favorites to get information about games, news and more