2025 NFL MVP Odds, Race: Matt Stafford Closes Regular Season as Favorite

Just like the Super Bowl odds, the race for NFL MVP has seen some back and forth.

Let's take a look at the latest at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Jan. 5, as well as what to know about the contenders.

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2025-26 NFL MVP odds

Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams: -180

What to know: Stafford had long been holding steady atop this board, but a shaky Week 17 performance, coupled with a few late-season losses by the Rams, appeared to have doomed his MVP campaign. However, with a win in Week 18 over Arizona, highlighted by four TDs from Stafford, he's back atop the board with the regular season completed, moving from +300 to -180. What a whirlwind. Stafford finished the 17-game campaign with 4,707 passing yards (first), 46 TDs (first) and just eight interceptions. His 109.2 passer rating was second in the NFL, and he had 12 more passing touchdowns than the QB in second place (Jared Goff — 34). The Rams will enter the NFC playoffs as the 5-seed, having faced the ninth-toughest schedule in the NFL this season. They had eight games against playoff teams (Houston, Philadelphia, Seattle, San Francisco, Jacksonville and Carolina), going 4-4.

Drake Maye, QB, Patriots: +150

What to know: Just last week, MVP seemed to be wrapped up for the second-year QB, who was at -400 to win the award, with one single regular-season game remaining. However, despite the Pats blasting the Dolphins in Week 18 to move to 14-3, Maye only had one passing TD in the 38-10 blowout. New England put an end to Buffalo's five-year division title streak and finished the regular season tied for the best record in the league, alongside Denver and Seattle. However, as mentioned everywhere, the Pats had the easiest schedule in the NFL this season, facing three playoff teams (Pittsburgh, Carolina and Buffalo) and going 2-2 in those games. Against non-playoff teams, New England was 12-1. Maye finished the year with 4,394 passing yards (fourth), 31 TDs (third) and eight picks. His 113.5 passer rating was the best in the NFL.

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