
Newcastle United vs. Leeds United Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 7
Newcastle United will play at home versus Leeds United on Wednesday, after mixed results in their most recent matches in the Premier League -- a win over Crystal Palace and a draw against Manchester United, respectively. We provide our prediction for this matchup in the article below.
Newcastle is 10th in the Premier League in goals scored (28 overall, 1.4 per game), and Leeds is 15th in goals conceded (33 overall, 1.7 per game). Leeds is 13th in the Premier League in goals scored (26 overall, 1.3 per game), and Newcastle is sixth in goals conceded (24 overall, 1.2 per game). Newcastle is fifth in the Premier League in goal differential at +4. Leeds' goal difference (-7) ranks 15th in the Premier League.
Newcastle played Crystal Palace at home in its last game and prevailed by a final score of 2-0. It won despite being outshot by one in the match, 10 to nine. Malick Thiaw and Bruno Guimaraes netted the only goals for their team in the match against Crystal Palace. In its last match on January 4, Leeds drew with Manchester United 1-1 at home. Manchester United outshot Leeds 13 to nine. Brenden Aaronson scored the lone goal for Leeds (on two shots).
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Newcastle vs. Leeds Odds & Betting Lines
| Moneyline Favorite | Moneyline Underdog | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle -148 | Leeds +418 | 2.5 | -123 | -103 |
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Newcastle vs. Leeds Prediction & Pick
- Moneyline Pick: Newcastle -148
- Total Pick: Over 2.5 goals
- Score Prediction: Newcastle 2, Leeds 1
Newcastle vs. Leeds Match Info
- Match Day: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
- Match Time: 3:15 PM ET
- Location: Newcastle, England
- Stadium: St. James' Park
- TV: Peacock Premium
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Newcastle's Moneyline Performance
- Newcastle has seven wins as a favorite this season, in 14 opportunities.
- Newcastle (-148) has been at least this big a favorite in seven games, and went 6-0-1.
- Newcastle's chances of winning this match are 59.7%, according to the moneyline.
Newcastle's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimaraes | 20 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 21 |
| Nick Woltemade | 17 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 9 |
| Lewis Miley | 20 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Malick Thiaw | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 |
| Harvey Barnes | 19 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 10 |
Newcastle's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1/4/2026 | H | W | 2-0 | 9 | 10 |
| Burnley | 12/30/2025 | A | W | 3-1 | 19 | 15 |
| Manchester United | 12/26/2025 | A | L | 1-0 | 13 | 10 |
| Chelsea | 12/20/2025 | H | D | 2-2 | 11 | 14 |
| Sunderland AFC | 12/14/2025 | A | L | 1-0 | 4 | 4 |
Leeds' Moneyline Performance
- Leeds has been an underdog in 14 matches this season, and won one.
- This season Leeds (+418) has been at least this big an underdog in three games, and won none.
- Leeds has a 19.3% chance of winning this match, based on the moneyline.
Leeds' Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 18 | 8 | 0 | 32 | 9 |
| Anton Stach | 19 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 23 |
| Brenden Aaronson | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 |
| Lukas Nmecha | 17 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
| Jaka Bijol | 19 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Leeds' Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 1/4/2026 | H | D | 1-1 | 9 | 13 |
| Liverpool | 1/1/2026 | A | D | 0-0 | 4 | 16 |
| Sunderland AFC | 12/28/2025 | A | D | 1-1 | 17 | 6 |
| Crystal Palace | 12/20/2025 | H | W | 4-1 | 19 | 10 |
| Brentford | 12/14/2025 | A | D | 1-1 | 15 | 8 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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