Two teams at opposite ends of the Premier League will clash on Saturday, when fifth-place Chelsea FC hosts 19th-place Burnley FC. Find our prediction for this matchup below.
Offensively, Chelsea is third in the Premier League (47 goals, 1.8 per match). And defensively, Burnley is 20th (51 goals conceded, two per match). With 28 goals in 26 matches, Burnley is 16th in the Premier League. On the flip side, Chelsea has conceded 30 goals in 26 games, fourth in the league. Chelsea has outscored opponents 47-30, and its +17 goal differential is third in the Premier League. Burnley is 19th in the Premier League in goal differential at -23.
Chelsea topped Burnley in the first leg of this tie, on Nov. 22. It finished 2-0, with Chelsea taking 15 shots and Burnley taking eight. Chelsea's Pedro Neto and Enzo Fernandez scored one goal apiece (on two and one shots, respectively). Zian Flemming took a team-high two shots for Burnley.
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Chelsea vs. Burnley Odds & Betting Lines
| Moneyline Favorite | Moneyline Underdog | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea -463 | Burnley +1200 | 3.5 | +112 | -145 |
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Chelsea vs. Burnley Prediction & Pick
- Moneyline Pick: Chelsea -463
- Total Pick: Under 3.5 goals
- Score Prediction: Chelsea 3, Burnley 0
Chelsea vs. Burnley Match Info
- Match Day: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Match Time: 10 a.m. ET
- Location: London, England
- Stadium: Stamford Bridge
- TV: Peacock Premium
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Chelsea's Moneyline Performance
- Chelsea has been favored in 22 matches this season, and won 11.
- Chelsea has not been a -463 favorite or greater this season.
- The likelihood of Chelsea winning this match is 82.2%, based on the moneyline.
Chelsea's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 26 | 10 | 4 | 31 | 15 |
| Enzo Fernandez | 25 | 8 | 2 | 38 | 31 |
| Cole Palmer | 16 | 8 | 1 | 22 | 11 |
| Pedro Neto | 26 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 35 |
| Reece James | 24 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
Chelsea's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 2/10/2026 | H | D | 2-2 | 20 | 4 |
| Wolverhampton | 2/7/2026 | A | W | 3-1 | 13 | 8 |
| West Ham | 1/31/2026 | H | W | 3-2 | 13 | 10 |
| Crystal Palace | 1/25/2026 | A | W | 3-1 | 9 | 12 |
| Brentford | 1/17/2026 | H | W | 2-0 | 6 | 16 |
Burnley's Moneyline Performance
- This season Burnley has been an underdog in 25 matches, and pulled off three upsets.
- This season Burnley (+1200) has been at least this big an underdog in one game, and won none.
- Based on the moneyline, Burnley has a 7.7% chance of winning this match.
Burnley's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaidon Anthony | 25 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 18 |
| Zian Flemming | 21 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 3 |
| Lesley Ugochukwu | 25 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 |
| Marcus Edwards | 26 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 |
| Lyle Foster | 20 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 |
Burnley's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 2/11/2026 | A | W | 3-2 | 7 | 20 |
| West Ham | 2/7/2026 | H | L | 2-0 | 15 | 7 |
| Sunderland AFC | 2/2/2026 | A | L | 3-0 | 3 | 12 |
| Tottenham | 1/24/2026 | H | D | 2-2 | 6 | 17 |
| Liverpool | 1/17/2026 | A | D | 1-1 | 6 | 28 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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