Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb 21

Published Feb. 20, 2026 6:55 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Chelsea FC (fifth) is currently well above Burnley FC (19th) in the Premier League, but it hosts Burnley on Saturday at 10 a.m. ET. Below, you can find our prediction for this contest.

Offensively, Chelsea is third in the Premier League (47 goals, 1.8 per match). And defensively, Burnley is 20th (51 goals conceded, two per match). Burnley has scored 28 goals in 26 games this season (16th in Premier League), and Chelsea has conceded 30 goals in 26 matches (fourth in league). Chelsea's goal difference (+17) ranks third in the Premier League. Burnley's goal difference (-23) is 19th in the Premier League.

In their first meeting, on Nov. 22, Chelsea topped Burnley 2-0, with Chelsea taking 15 shots and Burnley taking eight. Pedro Neto and Enzo Fernandez scored one goal each for Chelsea. Burnley got a team-high two shots from Zian Flemming.

Visit FOX Sports' Premier League hub for everything you need to make the most of this season’s action.

Chelsea vs. Burnley Odds & Betting Lines

Chelsea vs Burnley Betting Information updated as of February 20, 2026, 4:39 p.m. ET.
Moneyline Favorite	Moneyline Underdog	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chelsea -461	Burnley +1125	3.5	+112	-145

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Chelsea vs. Burnley Prediction & Pick

Moneyline Pick: Chelsea -461
Total Pick: Under 3.5 goals
Score Prediction: Chelsea 3, Burnley 0

Chelsea vs. Burnley Match Info

Match Day: Saturday, February 21, 2026
Match Time: 10 a.m. ET
Location: London, England
Stadium: Stamford Bridge
TV: Peacock Premium
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chelsea's Moneyline Performance

Chelsea has been favored in 22 matches this season, and went 11-6-5.
Thus far this season, Chelsea (-461) has not been this big a favorite.
Chelsea's chances of winning this match are 82.2%, according to the moneyline.

Chelsea's Key Players

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Shots	Chances Created
Joao Pedro	26	10	4	31	15
Enzo Fernandez	25	8	2	38	31
Cole Palmer	16	8	1	22	11
Pedro Neto	26	5	3	21	35
Reece James	24	2	4	11	15

Chelsea's Recent Performance

Opponent	Date	Home/Away	Result	Score	Shots	Opp. Shots
Leeds	2/10/2026	H	D	2-2	20	4
Wolverhampton	2/7/2026	A	W	3-1	13	8
West Ham	1/31/2026	H	W	3-2	13	10
Crystal Palace	1/25/2026	A	W	3-1	9	12
Brentford	1/17/2026	H	W	2-0	6	16

Burnley's Moneyline Performance

Burnley has three wins in 25 matches as an underdog this season.
This season Burnley (+1125) has been at least this big an underdog in two games, and won none.
According to the moneyline, Burnley's chances of winning this match are 8.2%.