Rams vs. Falcons 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 29

Published Dec. 27, 2025 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Los Angeles Rams (11-4) are considered favorites (-8.5) according to the point spread ahead of their game against the Atlanta Falcons (6-9) on December 29, 2025, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET, airing on ESPN. An over/under of 50.5 points has been set for the matchup.

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Rams vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

Rams vs Falcons Betting Information updated as of December 24, 2025, 5:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Rams	-8.5	-108	-123	50.5	-108	-123

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Rams vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Rams (-8.5)
Pick OU: Under (50.5)
Prediction: Rams 33 - Falcons 15

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. Atlanta

Game date: Monday, December 29, 2025
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
TV: ESPN
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

Rams vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

Los Angeles holds a 2-1 record against Atlanta in their last three matchups.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, Los Angeles has scored 81 points versus Atlanta, while surrendering only 63 points.

Los Angeles Betting Info

Against the spread, Los Angeles is 11-4-0 this season.
The Rams have covered the spread twice when favored by 8.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
Los Angeles has combined with its opponent to hit the over in 53.3% of its contests this year (eight times over 15 games with a set point total).
When playing as moneyline favorites, the Rams are 11-2 (winning 84.6% of the time).
Looking at this matchup's moneyline, the Rams' implied win probability is 82.4%.

Rams Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	270.5 (4,057)	2
Rush yards	126.3 (1,894)	5
Points scored	30.5 (457)	2
Pass yards against	221.3 (3,320)	20
Rush yards against	105.7 (1,586)	12
Points allowed	19.9 (299)	6

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

Matthew Stafford has 4,179 passing yards (third in the NFL), 40 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and five interceptions this year. He has completed 65.7% of his passes, averaging 278.6 yards per game and 8.1 per attempt.
Puka Nacua's 1,592 receiving yards this season (second in the NFL) have come from 145 targets and 114 receptions (first in the NFL). He's averaging 113.7 receiving yards and 8.1 catches per game, with eight receiving touchdowns (eighth in the NFL).
Kyren Williams' output on the ground this season includes 1,100 yards (eighth in the NFL) and 10 TDs. He is averaging 73.3 yards per game and 4.7 per attempt (15th in the NFL).
Williams has been on the receiving end of 42 targets in the passing game and has 30 catches (2.0 per game) for 222 yards (14.8 per game) and three TDs.
Davante Adams has put up 789 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns (first in the NFL) with 60 catches on 114 targets. He is averaging 4.3 receptions and 56.4 yards per game.

Defense

Over on defense, Nathan Landman has one interception to go with 123 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and six passes defended in 2025.
Byron Young has 11.0 sacks (ninth in the NFL) as well as 10.0 TFL and 72 tackles.
Kamren Curl has recorded 108 tackles, 2.0 TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions this year. He's second on the Rams in tackles.
So far this season, Jared Verse has 50 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks.

Atlanta Betting Info

Atlanta has put together an 8-7-0 record against the spread this year.
This season, Atlanta games have hit the over seven times.
This season, the Falcons have been the underdog nine times and won four of those games.
The Falcons have a 21.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Falcons Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	215.9 (3,238)	17
Rush yards	124.7 (1,870)	7
Points scored	20.5 (307)	26
Pass yards against	195.1 (2,927)	9
Rush yards against	128.2 (1,923)	25
Points allowed	24.0 (360)	21

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

This year through 15 games, Bijan Robinson has churned out 1,250 rushing yards (leading the Falcons and fifth in the NFL) and scored six rushing touchdowns. He averages 83.3 yards per game and 5.0 per carry (eighth in the NFL).
On top of his rushing statistics, Robinson has caught 71 passes (on 92 targets) for 776 yards (third on the Falcons), with three receiving touchdowns. He's averaging 51.7 yards per game.
Drake London has 837 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 63 receptions, while being targeted 102 times.
Through 15 games played this season, Kyle Pitts has 80 catches (5.3 receptions per game on 7.1 targets per game) for 854 yards and five receiving touchdowns.
Tyler Allgeier has scored eight touchdowns on the ground, while running for 475 total yards (3.8 per carry and 31.7 per game).

Defense

So far in 2025, Kaden Elliss has 3.5 sacks to go with 10.0 TFL, 98 tackles, and one interception through 15 games.
DeAundre Alford has two interceptions on top of 53 tackles, 5.0 TFL, two sacks, and 10 passes defended.
Jessie Bates III has intercepted two passes on top of 88 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended during the 2025 season.
Xavier Watts has intercepted three passes to go with 80 tackles and seven passes defended.