Patriots vs. Giants 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 1

Patriots vs. Giants 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 1

Updated Dec. 1, 2025 6:43 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Having lost nine in a row, the New York Giants (2-10) will face the New England Patriots (10-2). The Patriots are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7.5). The expected point total for the game is 46.5.

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Patriots vs. Giants Odds & Betting Lines

Patriots vs Giants Betting Information updated as of December 1, 2025, 3:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Patriots -7.5 100 -120 46.5 -112 -108

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Patriots vs. Giants Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Patriots (-7.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (46.5)
  • Prediction: Patriots 30 - Giants 18

How to Watch New England vs. New York

  • Game date: Monday, December 1, 2025
  • Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Patriots vs. Giants Recent Matchups

  • New England and New York have been matched up evenly over their last two meetings, sharing the same 1-1 record.
  • New York has been outscored by 18 points in its last two tilts versus New England.

New England Betting Info

  • In 12 New England games this season, it has seven wins against the spread.
  • The Patriots have not covered the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • New England has combined with its opponent to hit the over in 50% of its contests this year (six times in 12 games with a set point total).
  • When playing as moneyline favorites, the Patriots are 7-1, picking up a win 87.5% of the time.
  • Looking at this game's moneyline, the Patriots' implied win probability is 78.9%.

Patriots Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 247.5 (2,970) 3
Rush yards 112.4 (1,349) 20
Points scored 26.5 (318) 7
Pass yards against 213.5 (2,562) 18
Rush yards against 87.7 (1,052) 2
Points allowed 18.8 (226) 5

New England's Key Players

Offense

  • Drake Maye has passed for 3,130 yards (third in the NFL), 21 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and six interceptions this year. He averages 260.8 yards per game and 8.8 per attempt, while completing 71.0% of his passes.
  • He has also rushed for 307 yards (second on the Patriots) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 25.6 rushing yards per game.
  • TreVeyon Henderson has totaled 558 rushing yards with five touchdowns (46.5 yards per game through 12 games). His 4.7 yards per attempt rank 12th in the league.
  • Henderson has 29 catches on 34 targets for 180 yards. He has one receiving TD.
  • Through 12 games played, Stefon Diggs is averaging 56.6 yards and 5.1 receptions per game on the way to 679 receiving yards and 61 catches. He's been targeted 75 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
  • Hunter Henry averages 3.4 receptions and 44.8 yards per game, and has 537 total receiving yards and 41 catches. He's gotten 63 total targets, and has caught five touchdown passes.

Defense

  • On the defensive side, Robert Spillane has 95 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 2025. His tackle total leads the Patriots.
  • Harold Landry has 41 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks.
  • Marcus Jones has totaled 50 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and three interceptions this year.
  • This season, Jaylinn Hawkins has 46 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions.

New York Betting Info

  • New York has covered the spread seven times this year (7-5-0).
  • The Giants are 4-1 ATS when underdogs by 7.5 points or more this season.
  • This season, seven New York games have gone over the point total.
  • The Giants have entered the game as underdogs 12 times this season and won twice.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Giants have a 25.3% chance to win.

Giants Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 224 (2,688) 13
Rush yards 124.5 (1,494) 9
Points scored 22 (264) 21
Pass yards against 227.8 (2,734) 23
Rush yards against 157.2 (1,886) 32
Points allowed 27.8 (334) 30

New York's Key Players

Offense

  • Through nine games played this year, Jaxson Dart has amassed 1,417 passing yards, while throwing 10 touchdowns against three interceptions and completing 62.7% of his passes.
  • On the ground, Dart has added seven rushing touchdowns and 317 rushing yards (third on the Giants).
  • Wan'Dale Robinson has put together a 2025 stat sheet that includes 66 catches (10th in the NFL) for 794 yards and three receiving touchdowns over 12 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 102 targets and is averaging 5.5 receptions per game.
  • This season, Theo Johnson has caught 39 passes for 427 receiving yards with five touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 60 total times and is averaging 3.3 receptions per game in 12 games played.
  • Tyrone Tracy Jr. has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 398 total yards (3.9 per attempt and 39.8 per game).
  • Tracy has also tacked on 21 catches (2.1 per game) for 206 yards (20.6 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He has been on the receiving end of 30 targets.

Defense

  • So far in 2025, Brian Burns has amassed 54 tackles, 17.0 TFL, and 13 sacks over 12 games.
  • Bobby Okereke has registered 1.0 sack in addition to his 1.0 TFL and 103 tackles over 12 games.
  • Andru Phillips has intercepted two passes on top of 50 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and nine passes defended during the 2025 season.
  • Dane Belton has registered 1.0 TFL and 63 tackles through 12 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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