Packers vs. Commanders 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 11

The Green Bay Packers (1-0) are favored by 3.5 points against the Washington Commanders (1-0) on September 11, 2025, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET, airing on Amazon Prime Video. The predicted point total for the game is 49.5.

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Packers vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Packers vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Packers (-3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (49.5)
  
• Prediction: Packers 28 - Commanders 22

How to Watch Green Bay vs. Washington

• Game date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Lambeau Field
• Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
• TV: Amazon Prime Video
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Packers vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

• Green Bay and Washington have been matched up evenly over their last four matchups, sharing the same 2-2 record.
• In their last four head-to-head matchups, Green Bay has scored 82 points against Washington, while surrendering only 79 points.

Green Bay Betting Info

• Green Bay went 8-8-1 ATS last season.
• The Packers had an ATS record of 4-3 as 3.5-point favorites or greater last season.
• Green Bay and its opponent combined to hit the over in eight of 17 contests last season.
• The Packers won nine of the 12 games they were the moneyline favorite last season (75%).
• Green Bay had a 6-1 record last year (winning 85.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -175 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Packers a 63.6% chance to win.

Packers Stats (2024)

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Last year over 17 games, Josh Jacobs churned out 1,329 rushing yards (sixth in the NFL) and scored 15 rushing touchdowns. He averaged 78.2 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt (20th in the NFL).
• On top of his impact on the ground, Jacobs caught 36 passes (on 43 targets) for 342 yards, with one receiving touchdown. He averaged 20.1 yards per game.
• Over the course of 15 games, Jordan Love had 3,389 passing yards, with 25 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against 11 interceptions and completing 63.1% of his attempts.
• He also added 83 rushing yards, with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 5.5 yards per game and 3.3 per carry).
• Last season, Jayden Reed caught 55 passes for 857 receiving yards with six touchdowns in the passing game. He was targeted 75 total times and averaged 3.2 receptions per game over 17 games played.
• Tucker Kraft was targeted 70 times, resulting in 50 catches for 707 yards.

Defense

• In 2024, Edgerrin Cooper put up 3.5 sacks to go with 13 TFL, 77 tackles, and one interception in 14 games.
• Xavier McKinney had 85 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and eight interceptions.
• Keisean Nixon had 88 tackles, eight TFL, three sacks, and one interception in the 2024 campaign.
• Micah Parsons' season stats for the Cowboys last season include 43 tackles, 12 TFL, and 12 sacks in 13 games.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington covered 10 times in 17 games with a spread last year.
• As 3.5-point underdogs or greater, the Commanders went 3-3 against the spread last season.
• In Washington games last season, combined scoring went over the point total 11 times.
• The Commanders won three of the six games they played as underdogs last season.
• Washington entered five games last season as the underdog by +145 or more and were 2-3 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win by the Commanders, based on the moneyline, is 40.8%.

Commanders Stats (2024)

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• Jayden Daniels passed for 3,568 yards last year, with 25 TDs (10th in the NFL) and nine interceptions. He completed 69% of his attempts, averaging 209.9 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
• On the ground, Daniels added six TDs and 891 yards.
• Terry McLaurin had 82 receptions for 1,096 yards and 13 receiving TDs (second in the NFL). He was targeted 117 times and averaged 4.8 catches in 17 games.
• In 17 games last season, Zach Ertz had 66 catches (3.9 per game on 5.4 targets per game) for 654 yards and seven TDs.
• For the 49ers, Deebo Samuel had 51 catches for 670 yards and three TDs. He averaged 3.4 yards per game in 15 games and was targeted 81 times.

Defense

• In 2024, Frankie Luvu amassed eight sacks to go along with 12 TFL, 99 tackles, and one interception in 17 games.
• Bobby Wagner registered two sacks to go along with his 10 TFL and 132 tackles over 17 games.
• Mike Sainristil picked off two passes on top of 90 tackles, one TFL, and 14 passes defended in 2024.
• Quan Martin put up two TFL, 81 tackles, and one interception over 16 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Green Bay Packers

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