Justin Herbert Odds and Prop Bets vs. Patriots – NFL Week 13 2023

Updated Dec. 3, 2023 10:52 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Week 13 NFL action will see Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers match up against the New England Patriots at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. In this piece we'll dig into Herbert's stats and trends to help you make good predictions among his prop bets for this contest.

Learn more about Justin Herbert vs. the New England Patriots on FOX Sports.

Justin Herbert vs. Patriots Player Props

Pass Yds Over/Under	Pass Yds Over Payout	Pass TDs Over/Under	Pass TDs Over Payout	Rush Yds Over/Under	Rush Yds Over Payout	Anytime TD Odds
246.5	-115	1.5	-111	14.5	-118	+350

Justin Herbert vs. New England Game Info

Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots
Game Day: December 3, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 PM
Passing Yards Prop: Over 246.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards Prop: Over 14.5 (-118)
TV: Watch on CBS

Justin Herbert Season Stats

Pass Comp.	Pass Att.	Comp. %	Pass Yards	Pass TDs	INTs	Pass Yards/Att.	Rush Att.	Rush Yards	Rush TDs
266	402	66.2%	2,826	20	6	7.0	48	233	3

Justin Herbert Betting Insights

Sunday's prop bet for Herbert is 246.5 passing yards. That's 10.4 fewer yards than his 256.9 average for the year.
In six of 11 matchups this season, he has topped 246.5 passing yards.
Herbert has passed for over his season prop average of 204.4 yards (by 52.5 yards per game).
This year, he has finished above his passing yards total three times (42.9%).
Herbert has completed a touchdown pass in 10 of 11 games this year -- including multiple TDs six times.

Patriots' Defense 2023 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	222.7 (16)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	6.5 (17)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	94.1 (7)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	3.4 (1)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	316.8 (8)
Yards/Play Allowed	5.1 (4)
Points/Game Allowed	22.5 (21)

Chargers' 2023 Stats

With 390.6 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks worst in the NFL, the Chargers have been forced to lean on their 11th-ranked offense (347.5 yards per contest) to keep them in games.
Looking at pace of play, Los Angeles ranks 15th in the NFL, running 64 offensive plays per contest.
With 280 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks worst in the NFL, the Chargers have had to rely on their 10th-ranked passing offense (243.5 passing yards per contest) to keep them competitive.
The Chargers are putting up 103.9 rushing yards per game on offense this year (20th in NFL), and they are allowing 110.6 rushing yards per game (14th) on the other side of the ball.
This season, Los Angeles, one of the most pass-heavy teams in the league, is passing 57% of the time (seventh in NFL). Meanwhile, it is rushing the ball 39.5% of the time (with 3.5% of its offensive plays ending in a sack).
In addition to 6.1 yards per play allowed on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Chargers have put up the ninth-ranked yards-per-play average on offense (5.7).