Eagles vs. Commanders 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

The Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3) over the Washington Commanders (4-12). The Eagles have won three games straight. An over/under of 38.5 points has been set for the matchup.

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Eagles vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

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Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Eagles (-3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (38.5)
  
• Prediction: Eagles 32 - Commanders 13

How to Watch Philadelphia vs. Washington

• Game date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• TV: CBS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Eagles vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Philadelphia has won against Washington four times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Philadelphia has scored 181 points versus Washington, while surrendering only 126 points.

Philadelphia Betting Info

• Philadelphia has 10 wins in 16 games versus the spread this season.
• The Eagles have covered the spread five times this season (5-5 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
• Philadelphia has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 37.5% of its contests this year (six times over 16 games with a set point total).
• The Eagles have put together a 9-5 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 64.3% of those games).
• Looking at this game's moneyline, the Eagles' implied win probability is 63.6%.

Eagles Stats

Philadelphia's Key Players

Offense

• Jalen Hurts has thrown for 3,224 yards, 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and six interceptions this year. He is averaging 201.5 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt, while completing 64.8% of his attempts.
• He has also rushed for 421 yards (second on the Eagles) and added eight touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 26.3 rushing yards per game.
• Saquon Barkley's rushing output this season includes 1,140 yards (10th in the NFL) and seven TDs. He is averaging 71.3 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (31st in the NFL).
• He has also caught 37 passes (on 50 targets) for 273 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He's averaging 17.1 receiving yards and 2.3 catches per game.
• In the passing attack, A.J. Brown, has totaled 1,003 receiving yards and seven touchdowns after pulling down 78 balls on 121 targets. Per game, he's averaging 66.9 yards and 5.2 receptions in 15 games.
• Dallas Goedert has 591 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns (second in the NFL) with 60 catches on 82 targets. He is averaging 4.0 receptions and 39.4 yards per game.

Defense

• Over on defense, Zack Baun has two interceptions to go with 123 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and seven passes defended in 2025.
• Cooper DeJean has 4.0 TFL, 85 tackles, and two interceptions.
• Jalyx Hunt has totaled 50 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and two interceptions this year.
• This season, Jaelan Phillips has 53 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and five sacks.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington has covered the spread six times over 16 games with a set total.
• The Commanders have an ATS record of 3-4 in their seven games when underdogs by 3 points or more this year.
• This season, Washington games have hit the over nine times.
• The Commanders have won two, or 16.7%, of the 12 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 40.8% chance of a victory for the Commanders.

Commanders Stats

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• So far this year in 16 games, Jacory Croskey-Merritt has racked up 776 rushing yards (leading the Commanders) and scored eight rushing touchdowns. He averages 48.5 yards per game and 4.8 per attempt (12th in the NFL).
• Marcus Mariota has 1,695 passing yards, 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions. His completion percentage is 61.2% and he averages 169.5 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt.
• Mariota also has one rushing touchdown and 297 rushing yards (third on the Commanders).
• In seven games this season, Jayden Daniels has racked up 1,262 passing yards, with eight touchdowns against three interceptions and completing 60.6% of his attempts.
• He's added 278 yards on the ground (fourth on the Commanders), while scoring two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 39.7 yards per game and 4.8 per attempt.
• Deebo Samuel has 707 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 70 receptions after getting 94 targets.

Defense

• Bobby Wagner has intercepted two passes to go with 158 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and four passes defended in 2025.
• Frankie Luvu has 3.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 85 tackles.
• Mike Sainristil has 1.0 TFL, 71 tackles, and four interceptions.
• Quan Martin has 95 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Philadelphia Eagles

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