
Eagles vs. Commanders 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4
Updated Jan. 3, 2026 2:43 a.m. ET
Data Skrive
Having won three in a row, the Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) will play the Washington Commanders (4-12). The Eagles are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The matchup has an over/under of 38.5 points.
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Eagles vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -3.5 | -124 | -107 | 38.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick
- Pick ATS: Eagles (-3.5)
- Pick OU: Over (38.5)
- Prediction: Eagles 32 - Commanders 13
How to Watch Philadelphia vs. Washington
- Game date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
- Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- TV: CBS
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Eagles vs. Commanders Recent Matchups
- Philadelphia has a 4-1 record against Washington in their last five matchups.
- Washington has been outscored by 55 points in its last five tilts versus Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Betting Info
- Against the spread, Philadelphia is 10-6-0 this season.
- The Eagles have covered the spread five times this season (5-4 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
- Philadelphia contests this year have gone over the point total 37.5% of the time (six times in 16 games with a set point total).
- When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Eagles are 9-5, picking up a victory 64.3% of the time.
- Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Eagles' implied win probability is 69.2%.
Eagles Stats
| Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards | 192.3 (3,076) | 23 |
| Rush yards | 119.3 (1,908) | 17 |
| Points scored | 22.6 (362) | 19 |
| Pass yards against | 193.4 (3,095) | 9 |
| Rush yards against | 123.3 (1,972) | 20 |
| Points allowed | 18.8 (301) | 3 |
Philadelphia's Key Players
Offense
- Jalen Hurts has thrown for 3,224 yards, 25 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and six interceptions this year. He is averaging 201.5 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt, while completing 64.8% of his passes.
- He has tacked on 421 rushing yards (26.3 per game) and eight touchdowns on the ground.
- Saquon Barkley has put up 1,140 rushing yards (10th in the NFL) with seven touchdowns (71.3 yards per game through 16 games). His 4.1 yards per attempt rank 31st in the league.
- He's also caught 37 passes (on 50 targets) for 273 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He's averaging 17.1 receiving yards and 2.3 catches per game.
- Through 15 games played, A.J. Brown is averaging 66.9 yards and 5.2 receptions per game to total 1,003 receiving yards and 78 catches. He's been targeted 121 times, and has seven receiving touchdowns.
- Dallas Goedert has put up 591 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns (second in the NFL) with 60 catches on 82 targets. He is averaging 4.0 receptions and 39.4 yards per game.
Defense
- On the defensive side, Zack Baun has 3.5 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL, 123 tackles, and two interceptions in 2025.
- Cooper DeJean has 85 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two interceptions this season.
- Jalyx Hunt has collected 50 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and two interceptions this year.
- Jaelan Phillips has 53 tackles, 7.0 TFL, five sacks, and four passes defended.
Washington Betting Info
- Washington has gone 6-10-0 against the spread this year.
- This season, the Commanders have just two ATS wins in six games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
- This season, nine Washington games have gone over the point total.
- The Commanders have been underdogs in 12 games this season and won two (16.7%) of those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.1% chance of a victory for the Commanders.
Commanders Stats
| Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards | 187.4 (2,998) | 24 |
| Rush yards | 134.2 (2,147) | 4 |
| Points scored | 20.8 (332) | 25 |
| Pass yards against | 243.4 (3,895) | 28 |
| Rush yards against | 145.7 (2,331) | 31 |
| Points allowed | 27.1 (434) | 27 |
Washington's Key Players
Offense
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt has rushed for eight touchdowns this year, and has put up 776 total rushing yards (48.5 per game and 4.8 per carry).
- In 10 games, Marcus Mariota has 1,695 passing yards, while throwing 10 touchdowns against seven interceptions and completing 61.2% of his passes.
- He has added 297 rushing yards (third on the Commanders), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 29.7 yards per game and 5.9 per carry).
- Deebo Samuel has put up 707 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 70 receptions, while being targeted 94 times this season.
- Jayden Daniels has 1,262 passing yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. His completion percentage is 60.6% and he averages 180.3 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt.
- He has tacked on 278 rushing yards (fourth on the Commanders), with two touchdowns on the ground (averaging 39.7 yards per game and 4.8 per carry).
Defense
- Bobby Wagner's 2025 effort includes 158 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 16 games. He leads the Commanders and is third in the NFL in tackles.
- Frankie Luvu has totaled 3.0 sacks in addition to his 5.0 TFL and 85 tackles over 16 games.
- During the 2025 campaign, Mike Sainristil has 71 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and four interceptions in 16 games.
- Quan Martin has put up 1.0 TFL and 95 tackles through 16 games.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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