Cowboys vs. Commanders 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 25

Having dropped three in a row, the Dallas Cowboys (6-8-1) will play the Washington Commanders (4-11). Despite that, the Cowboys are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7). An over/under of 51.5 points has been established for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2025 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Commanders (+7)
  
• Pick OU: Over (51.5)
  
• Prediction: Cowboys 27 - Commanders 26

How to Watch Dallas vs. Washington

• Game date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Northwest Stadium
• Location: Landover, Maryland
• TV: Netflix
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Cowboys vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head bouts, Dallas has beaten Washington four times.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Dallas has scored 180 points, while Washington has accumulated 91.

Dallas Betting Info

• Dallas is 7-8-0 against the spread this year.
• Dallas games this year have gone over the total in 10 out of 15 opportunities (66.7%).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Cowboys are 3-5, winning 37.5% of the time.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Cowboys' implied win probability is 76.5%.

Cowboys Stats

Dallas' Key Players

Offense

• Dak Prescott has passed for 4,175 yards (second in the NFL), 28 touchdowns (third in the NFL) and 10 interceptions this year. He is averaging 278.3 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt, while completing 68.5% of his passes.
• In addition to his passing statistics, Prescott also has 154 rushing yards (second on the Cowboys), with two rushing touchdowns.
• Javonte Williams' rushing statline this season includes 1,147 yards (sixth in the NFL) and 10 TDs. He's averaging 76.5 yards per game and 4.8 per attempt (13th in the NFL).
• He has also hauled in 35 passes (on 49 targets) for 137 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He's averaging 9.1 receiving yards and 2.3 catches per game.
• In 15 games played, George Pickens is averaging 89.5 yards and 5.9 receptions per game to total 1,342 receiving yards (third in the NFL) and 88 catches (eighth in the NFL). He's been targeted 129 times, and has nine receiving touchdowns (seventh in the NFL).
• CeeDee Lamb averages 6.3 receptions and 93.4 yards per game, and has 1,027 total receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and 69 catches. He's gotten 106 total targets, and has caught three touchdown passes.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Quinnen Williams has 48 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in 2025.
• Kenneth Murray has 77 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack this season.
• Osa Odighizuwa has put up 39 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and three sacks this year.
• Shemar James has 61 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington has covered the spread five times this year (5-10-0).
• The Commanders have been underdogs by 7 points or more three times this season and have not covered the spread once.
• Games involving Washington have hit the over on eight occasions this year.
• This season, the Commanders have been the underdog 11 times and won two of those games.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 27.8% chance of a victory for the Commanders.

Commanders Stats

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• Through 10 games played this year, Marcus Mariota has racked up 1,695 passing yards, while throwing 10 touchdowns against seven interceptions and completing 61.2% of his passes.
• He's added 297 yards on the ground (third on the Commanders), with one rushing touchdown. He's averaging 29.7 yards per game and 5.9 per attempt.
• In seven games, Jayden Daniels has 1,262 passing yards, with eight touchdowns against three interceptions and completing 60.6% of his passes.
• Daniels also has two rushing touchdowns and 278 rushing yards (fourth on the Commanders).
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has rushed for six touchdowns this year, and has totaled 671 rushing yards (44.7 per game and 4.4 per attempt).
• Deebo Samuel has been targeted 90 times, resulting in 68 catches for 639 yards .

Defense

• In 2025, Bobby Wagner has 148 tackles, 8.0 TFL, four sacks, and two interceptions over 15 games.
• Frankie Luvu has 78 tackles, 5.0 TFL, three sacks, and five passes defended.
• In the 2025 season, Mike Sainristil has 66 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and four interceptions in 15 games.
• Quan Martin's season stats include 94 tackles and 1.0 TFL in 15 games. He is second on the Commanders in tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?

Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Washington Commanders

Dallas Cowboys