Commanders vs. Giants 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 7

The Washington Commanders (0-0) are the favorites -- expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5) -- versus the New York Giants (0-0) in a matchup of two division rivals. The game has an over/under of 45.5 points.

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Commanders vs. Giants Odds & Betting Lines

Commanders vs. Giants Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Commanders (-6.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (45.5)
  
• Prediction: Commanders 33 - Giants 14

How to Watch Washington vs. New York

• Game date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Northwest Stadium
• Location: Landover, Maryland
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Commanders vs. Giants Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head meetings, New York has won against Washington three times.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, New York has put up 105 points, while Washington has tallied 86.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington compiled a 10-7-0 ATS record last year.
• The Commanders won once ATS (1-3) as a 6.5-point favorite or greater last season.
• Washington and its opponent combined to go over the point total in 11 of 17 contests last season.
• The Commanders went 9-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 81.8% of those games).
• Washington had a record of 3-1 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -298 or shorter (75%).
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Commanders a 74.9% chance to win.

Commanders Stats (2024)

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• Over the course of 17 games played last year, Jayden Daniels totaled 3,568 passing yards, with 25 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against nine interceptions and completing 69% of his passes.
• Daniels also rushed for six touchdowns and 891 yards.
• Terry McLaurin had 82 catches for 1,096 yards and 13 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL). He was targeted 117 times and averaged 4.8 receptions per game over 17 games played.
• Zach Ertz put up 654 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on 66 receptions while being targeted 91 times last year.
• Deebo Samuel was targeted 81 times, resulting in 51 catches for 670 yards last season for the 49ers.

Defense

• Frankie Luvu's 2024 output included 99 tackles, 12 TFL, eight sacks, and one interception over 17 games.
• Bobby Wagner had two sacks to go with 10 TFL and 132 tackles.
• Mike Sainristil had one TFL, 90 tackles, and two interceptions.
• Quan Martin intercepted one pass and also had 81 tackles, two TFL, and three passes defended.

New York Betting Info

• New York covered five times in 17 chances against the spread last year.
• The Giants' ATS record as underdogs of 6.5 points or greater was 3-3 last season.
• New York and its opponent combined to hit the over six out of 17 times last year.
• The Giants were underdogs in 16 games last season and won three (18.8%) of those contests.
• New York had a record of 2-2 in games where oddsmakers had them as underdogs of at least +240 on the moneyline.
• The Giants have a 29.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Giants Stats (2024)

New York's Key Players

Offense

• In 11 games last season for the Steelers, Russell Wilson racked up 2,482 passing yards, with 16 TD passes and five INTs, connecting on 63.7% of his throws.
• He added 155 yards on the ground, with two rushing TDs. He averaged 14.1 yards per game and 3.6 per attempt.
• Malik Nabers put together a 2024 campaign that included 109 receptions (fifth in the NFL) for 1,204 yards (seventh in the NFL) and seven receiving TDs in 15 games. He was on the end of 170 targets and averaged 7.3 catches.
• Last year in 17 games, Tyrone Tracy Jr. churned out 839 yards rushing and scored five rushing TDs. He averaged 49.4 yards per game and 4.4 per carry (20th in the NFL).
• Tracy helped out in the pass attack, amassing 284 yards receiving (16.7 per game) on 38 receptions (2.2 per game) while being targeted 53 times. He had one TD catch.
• Jameis Winston threw for 2,121 passing yards, 13 TDs and 12 INTs for the Browns last year. His completion percentage was 61.1%, and he averaged 192.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
• Winston also picked up one rushing TD and 83 rushing yards.

Defense

• In 2024, Brian Burns had 71 tackles, 17 TFL, and 8.5 sacks in 17 games.
• Micah McFadden posted 107 tackles, eight TFL, and three sacks.
• Bobby Okereke posted two sacks in addition to his six TFL and 93 tackles.
• Tyler Nubin had four TFL and 97 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Washington Commanders

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