Chiefs vs. Raiders 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

Updated Jan. 4, 2026 2:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

In a matchup featuring two squads coming off defeats, the Kansas City Chiefs (6-10) will play the Las Vegas Raiders (2-14). The Chiefs have dropped five in a row, the Raiders 10 in a row. Kansas City is the favorite (currently -4.5). The predicted point total for the game is 36.5.

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Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Raiders Betting Information updated as of January 4, 2026, 1:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-4.5	-105	-115	36.5	-102	-118

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Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chiefs (-4.5)
Pick OU: Over (36.5)
Prediction: Chiefs 26 - Raiders 15

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Las Vegas

Game date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium
Location: Paradise, Nevada
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Raiders Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has taken down Las Vegas four times.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has scored 122 points, while Las Vegas has accumulated 74.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City has six wins in 16 games versus the spread this season.
The Chiefs have covered the spread three times this season (3-4 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
Kansas City games this year have hit the over on four of 16 set point totals (25%).
When playing as moneyline favorites, the Chiefs are 5-8 (winning 38.5% of the time).
The Chiefs have a 70.4% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	222.2 (3,555)	13
Rush yards	108 (1,728)	22
Points scored	21.9 (350)	20
Pass yards against	202.7 (3,243)	13
Rush yards against	104.9 (1,679)	9
Points allowed	19.6 (314)	6

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Kareem Hunt has recorded 597 rushing yards with eight touchdowns (37.3 yards per game across 16 games). His 3.8 yards per attempt rank 41st in the league.
He's also caught 15 passes (on 21 targets) for 122 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 7.6 receving yards and 0.9 catches per game.
Travis Kelce has 73 catches for 839 yards and five TDs. Through 16 games, he is averaging 4.6 catches and 52.4 yards per game.
Marquise Brown has five touchdown catches this season, and has 46 catches for 523 yards on 68 targets, while averaging 3.1 catches and 34.9 yards per game.
In the running game, Isiah Pacheco averages 3.9 yards per attempt (38th in the NFL) and 35.5 yards per game for 462 total rushing yards. He has recorded one rushing touchdown this season.
Pacheco has been targeted 26 times and turned those targets into 19 catches, 101 yards and one TD.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Nick Bolton has 145 tackles, 9.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 2025. His tackle total leads the Chiefs and is seventh in the NFL.
Chamarri Conner has 103 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks this season. He's second on the Chiefs in tackles.
This season, Drue Tranquill has put up 2.0 sacks (fourth on the Chiefs) to go along with his 9.0 TFL and 98 tackles.
So far this season, George Karlaftis III has 47 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and six sacks.

Las Vegas Betting Info

Las Vegas is 6-10-0 against the spread this year.
This year, the Raiders have an against-the-spread record of 3-4 in their seven games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
Las Vegas' games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under eight times this season.
This season, the Raiders have been the underdog 13 times and won one of those games.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 33.9% chance of a victory for the Raiders.

Raiders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	172.8 (2,765)	27
Rush yards	74.9 (1,199)	32
Points scored	14.2 (227)	32
Pass yards against	208.3 (3,333)	15
Rush yards against	118.9 (1,902)	18
Points allowed	26.3 (420)	25

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

So far this year in 16 games, Ashton Jeanty has churned out 888 rushing yards (leading the Raiders) and scored five rushing touchdowns. He averages 55.5 yards per game and 3.7 per carry (44th in the NFL).
On top of his rushing statistics, Jeanty has caught 52 passes (on 68 targets) for 339 yards (third on the Raiders), with five receiving touchdowns. He's averaging 21.2 yards per game.
Through 15 games, Geno Smith has 3,025 passing yards, with 19 touchdowns against 17 interceptions and completing 67.4% of his passes.
So far this season, Tre Tucker has caught 55 passes for 666 receiving yards with five touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 86 total times and is averaging 3.4 receptions per game over 16 games played.
Tyler Lockett has 286 receiving yards and one touchdown from 31 receptions after getting 50 targets.

Defense

Devin White has intercepted one pass and also has 168 tackles, 10.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in 2025.
Isaiah Pola-Mao has two interceptions on top of 88 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and four passes defended.
Elandon Roberts has 86 tackles and 6.0 TFL in the 2025 campaign. He is fourth on the Raiders in tackles.
Jonah Laulu has totaled 4.0 sacks (second on the Raiders) as well as 8.0 TFL and 49 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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