Buccaneers vs. Commanders 2024 Wild Card Round Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 12

Updated Jan. 12, 2025 4:43 p.m. ET

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In the NFC Wild Card round of the 2024 NFL Playoffs, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will play the Washington Commanders. The Buccaneers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The over/under for this one is set at 52.5 points.

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Can Jayden Daniels, Commanders lead UPSET over Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers? | NFL on FOX

Dave Helman sits down with Greg Olsen to talk about the game between the Washington Commanders and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers! Within the discussion, the duo talk about the QB Battle between Jayden Daniels and BakerMayfield!

Buccaneers vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Buccaneers vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Buccaneers (-3)
  
• Pick OU: Under (52.5)
  
• Prediction: Buccaneers 30 - Commanders 22

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. Washington

• Game Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Location: Tampa, Florida
• TV: NBC
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Buccaneers vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Washington has put up three wins versus Tampa Bay.
• Washington has been outscored by 13 points in its last five tilts against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

• Against the spread, Tampa Bay is 10-7-0 this season.
• The Buccaneers have an ATS record of 5-4 when playing as at least 3-point favorites this season.
• Tampa Bay games this year have hit the over on 12 of 17 set point totals (70.6%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Buccaneers are 7-2 (winning 77.8% of the time).
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Buccaneers a 61.8% chance to win.

Buccaneers Stats

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Baker Mayfield has thrown for 4,500 yards (third in the NFL), 41 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and 16 interceptions this year. He averages 264.7 yards per game and 7.9 per attempt, while completing 71.4% of his attempts.
• He has also rushed for 377 yards (third on the Buccaneers) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 22.2 rushing yards per game.
• Bucky Irving has totaled 1,122 rushing yards (10th in the NFL) with eight touchdowns (66 yards per game over 17 games). His 5.4 yards per attempt rank sixth in the NFL.
• Irving's 52 targets through the air have resulted in 47 catches (2.8 per game) for 392 yards (23.1 per game) and zero touchdowns.
• In the passing game, Mike Evans, has contributed with 1,004 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) after grabbing 74 balls on 110 targets. Per game, he's averaging 71.7 yards and 5.3 receptions through 14 games.
• Rachaad White has rushed for 613 yards, averaging 40.9 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
• White's 57 receiving targets have resulted in 51 receptions (3.4 per game) for 393 yards (26.2 per game) and six TDs.

Defense

• Over on defense, Lavonte David has 122 tackles, nine TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one interception in 2024.
• YaYa Diaby has 54 tackles, 13 TFL, and 4.5 sacks this season.
• Zyon McCollum has recorded 82 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions this year.
• Calijah Kancey has 7.5 sacks (first on the Buccaneers) to go with his 11 TFL and 28 tackles on the season.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington has covered the spread 10 times this season (10-7-0).
• The Commanders have been underdogs by 3 points or more six times this season and are 3-3 ATS in those games.
• Washington's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 11 times this season.
• This season, the Commanders have been the underdog six times and won three of those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 42.4% chance of a victory for the Commanders.

Commanders Stats

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• Jayden Daniels has thrown for 3,568 yards this year, with 25 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and nine interceptions. He is completing 69% of his passes while averaging 209.9 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
• On the ground, Daniels has added six rushing touchdowns and 891 rushing yards (first on the Commanders).
• Terry McLaurin has 1,096 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns (second in the NFL) on 82 receptions, while being targeted 117 times.
• Brian Robinson Jr. is averaging 57.1 rushing yards per game this season (799 total yards), while scoring eight rushing touchdowns.
• Robinson has helped in the passing attack, putting up 159 receiving yards (11.4 per game) on 20 catches (1.4 per game), while being targeted 25 times. He is seeking his first receiving touchdown.
• Zach Ertz has been targeted 91 times, resulting in 66 catches for 654 yards .

Defense

• Frankie Luvu has put up eight sacks (second on the Commanders) to go with 12 TFL, 99 tackles, and one interception over 17 games in 2024.
• Bobby Wagner has 132 tackles, 10 TFL, and two sacks. He leads the Commanders in tackles.
• Jeremy Chinn has two sacks in addition to his seven TFL, 107 tackles, and one interception.
• Mike Sainristil's season stats include 90 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions in 17 games. He is fourth on the Commanders in tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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