Broncos vs. Chargers 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

Updated Jan. 4, 2026 2:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Denver Broncos (13-3) are big favorites -- expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -14) -- against the Los Angeles Chargers (11-5) in a matchup of two division rivals. The total for this one is set at 38.5 points.

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Broncos vs. Chargers Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs Chargers Betting Information updated as of January 4, 2026, 2:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Broncos	-14	-112	-108	38.5	-109	-122

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Broncos vs. Chargers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chargers (+14)
Pick OU: Over (38.5)
Prediction: Broncos 24 - Chargers 19

How to Watch Denver vs. Los Angeles

Game date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Location: Denver, Colorado
TV:
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Broncos vs. Chargers Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Los Angeles has totaled three wins versus Denver.
Los Angeles has been outscored by 7 points in its last five tilts against Denver.

Denver Betting Info

Denver has six wins in 16 games versus the spread this season.
Denver games in 2025 have gone over the point total seven times in 16 opportunities (43.8%).
When playing as moneyline favorites, the Broncos have won 81.8% of the time (9-2).
The Broncos have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 93.1%.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	230.2 (3,683)	8
Rush yards	118.9 (1,902)	18
Points scored	23.9 (382)	14
Pass yards against	192.4 (3,078)	8
Rush yards against	89.7 (1,435)	2
Points allowed	19.3 (308)	4

Denver's Key Players

Offense

Bo Nix has passed for 3,790 yards (sixth in the NFL), 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He averages 236.9 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt, while completing 63.5% of his passes.
To go along with his passing stats, Nix has 307 rushing yards (third on the Broncos), with five rushing touchdowns.
RJ Harvey's rushing output this season includes 512 yards and seven TDs. He's averaging 32.0 yards per game and 3.9 per attempt (38th in the NFL).
He's also caught 46 passes (on 54 targets) for 351 receiving yards with five touchdowns. He's averaging 21.9 receiving yards and 2.9 catches per game.
In the passing game, Courtland Sutton, has racked up 1,012 receiving yards and seven touchdowns after hauling in 73 balls on 122 targets. Per game, he's averaging 63.3 yards and 4.6 receptions in 16 games.
Troy Franklin has racked up 709 receiving yards and six touchdowns with 65 catches on 103 targets. He's averaging 4.1 receptions and 44.3 yards per game.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Nik Bonitto has 44 tackles, 13.0 TFL, and 12.5 sacks in 2025.
Talanoa Hufanga has 103 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two sacks this season.
Alex Singleton has put up 128 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.
So far this season, Zach Allen has 36 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks.

Los Angeles Betting Info

Los Angeles is 9-7-0 against the spread this year.
Games involving Los Angeles have hit the over on six occasions this season.
This season, the Chargers have been listed as the underdog in four games but won them all.
The Chargers have a 11.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Chargers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	219 (3,504)	15
Rush yards	122.1 (1,954)	12
Points scored	22.8 (365)	18
Pass yards against	183.4 (2,934)	6
Rush yards against	104.7 (1,675)	8
Points allowed	20.1 (321)	7

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

Justin Herbert is averaging 7.3 passing yards per attempt (13th in the NFL) and 232.9 yards per game this year, completing 66.4% of his passes on the way to 3,727 total yards (ninth in the NFL), 26 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and 13 interceptions through 16 games.
On the ground, Herbert has added two rushing touchdowns and 498 rushing yards (third on the Chargers).
Quentin Johnston has 51 catches for 735 yards and eight receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 85 times and averages 3.9 receptions per game through 13 games played.
In 16 games played this season, Ladd McConkey has 66 catches (4.1 receptions per game on 6.6 targets per game) for 789 yards and six receiving touchdowns.
Omarion Hampton puts up 60.6 rushing yards per game through nine games (545 total yards), with four rushing touchdowns.
Hampton also has 192 receiving yards (21.3 per game) on 32 catches (3.6 per game). He has been targeted 35 times with one touchdown reception.

Defense

In 2025, Tuli Tuipulotu has amassed 13.0 sacks to go with 20.0 TFL and 45 tackles through 15 games. He ranks fifth in the NFL in sacks.
Daiyan Henley has 3.5 sacks (fifth on the Chargers) to go with 5.0 TFL, 101 tackles, and two interceptions.
During the 2025 campaign, Derwin James has 94 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and three interceptions through 15 games.
Odafe Oweh has 7.0 sacks (second on the Chargers) as well as 9.0 TFL and 34 tackles.