Warriors vs. Rockets Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 28

In Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Golden State Warriors will face the Houston Rockets. The Warriors take on the Rockets in a game that Golden State is currently a modest favorite by 3.5 points. A 203-point total is set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know about the Warriors-Rockets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Rockets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, April 28, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV:

Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (+ 3.5)
O/U Pick: Over (203)
Score Prediction: Warriors 113 - Rockets 110

Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Insights

• This season, the Warriors games have gone over 203 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 70 (out of 82) times.
• This year, 67 of the Rockets' 82 games have had a combined total higher than 203 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 25.1 more points per game (228.1) than this matchup's total of 203 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 17.3 more points per game (220.3) than this game's total of 203 points.
• Golden State has been victorious in 35, or 64.8%, of the 54 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Houston has been an underdog in 28 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (39.3%) in those contests.
• Golden State has taken five of its last eight head-to-head meetings with Houston.
• The Warriors have an advantage against the spread as well (6-2) when squaring off against the Rockets.
• In their past three contests the Rockets have failed to cover the point spread, and they were favored in zero of those games.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 6-4 in their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 223.7 points over its last 10 games, 20.7 more than the 203 over/under in this matchup.
• The Warriors have played 82 games, with 41 wins against the spread.
• Golden State has been favored by 3.5 points or more 45 times this season and are 20-25 ATS in those matchups.
• Warriors games this year have hit the over on 42 of 82 set point totals.
• The Warriors put up only four more points per game (113.8) than the Rockets allow (109.8).
• When Golden State scores more than 109.8 points, it is 33-18 against the spread and 39-12 overall.
• The Warriors are shooting 45.1% from the field this season, 0.8 percentage points lower than the 45.9% the Rockets allow to opponents.
• The Warriors own a worse record against the spread at home (18-23-0) than they do in away games (23-17-1).
• Golden State has gone over the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (48.8%) than road games (53.7%).
• The Warriors have fared worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 18-11, compared to going 17-8 on the road.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry posts 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Jimmy Butler averages 17.5 points, 5.4 assists and 5.4 rebounds per contest.
• Draymond Green averages 9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals (ninth in league) and 1 block.
• Brandin Podziemski averages 11.7 points, 3.4 assists and 5.1 boards.
• Buddy Hield posts 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocks.

Warriors Player Props

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Houston has averaged a total of 221 combined points in its last 10 games, 18 greater than this matchup's over/under of 203.
• The Rockets have played 82 games, with 42 wins against the spread.
• Houston has an against the spread record of 10-8 in its 18 games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more this season.
• Rockets games this year have hit the over on 46 of 82 set point totals (56.1%).
• The Rockets average only 3.8 more points per game (114.3) than the Warriors give up to opponents (110.5).
• Houston is 32-17 against the spread and 37-12 overall when it scores more than 110.5 points.
• The Rockets' 45.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Warriors have allowed to their opponents.
• Against the spread, the Rockets have had better results away (22-19-0) than at home (20-20-1) .
• In 2024-25 a lower percentage of Houston's games have finished above the over/under at home (51.2%, 21 of 41) than on the road (61%, 25 of 41).
• The Rockets, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (25-8) than away (16-4) this season.

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Alperen Sengun gets the Rockets 19.1 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Jalen Green gets the Rockets 21 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Rockets are getting 14.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game from Amen Thompson this year.
• Fred VanVleet is averaging 14.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game. He is draining 37.8% of his shots from the floor and 34.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 treys per game.
• The Rockets are receiving 14 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Dillon Brooks this season.

Rockets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Golden State Warriors

Houston Rockets