Warriors vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 19

The Miami Heat (22-20) travel to face the Golden State Warriors (24-19) after losing three consecutive road games. Golden State and Miami are in a matchup Monday without a set line.

Here's everything you need to know about the Warriors-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Heat Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Monday, January 19, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-BA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Warriors vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick:
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Warriors 118 - Heat 115

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games.
• The Warriors are 20-22-1 against the spread this season.
• Warriors games this year have hit the over on 24 of 42 set point totals.
• The 116.2 points per game the Warriors score are just 1.7 fewer points than the Heat give up (117.9).
• Golden State has a 15-8-1 record against the spread and a 19-5 record overall when putting up more than 117.9 points.
• The Warriors are shooting 46.1% from the field this season, 0.1 percentage points higher than the 46.0% the Heat allow to opponents.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 12 times in 22 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered eight times in 21 opportunities on the road.
• Golden State has eclipsed the total in 12 of 22 home games (54.5%). It has done better in away games, eclipsing the total in 12 of 21 matchups (57.1%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.789) compared to away games (.385).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III averages 20.1 points, 5.6 boards and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 51.9% from the field.
• Stephen Curry puts up 27.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 47.0% from the floor and 38.6% from beyond the arc with 4.5 made 3-pointers per game (first in NBA).
• Brandin Podziemski posts 12.0 points, 3.2 assists and 4.4 boards per contest.
• Draymond Green averages 8.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.8 rebounds.
• Moses Moody averages 10.6 points, 1.5 assists and 3.0 rebounds.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 5-5 in their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 24-17-1 this year.
• Heat games this season have gone over the total in 21 of 42 opportunities (50%).
• The Heat's 119.5 points per game are 6.2 more points than the 113.3 the Warriors give up to opponents.
• Miami has put together a 20-7 ATS record and an 18-9 overall record in games it scores more than 113.3 points.
• The Heat's 46.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Warriors have allowed to their opponents.
• This season, the Heat are 13-9-0 at home against the spread (.591 winning percentage). On the road, they are 11-8-1 ATS (.550).
• Miami's games have gone above the over/under 50% of the time both at home (11 of 22) and on the road (10 of 20) this year.
• This season the Heat are 10-5 at home as moneyline favorites (.667 winning percentage). On the road they are 1-2 (.333).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Norman Powell is averaging 23.8 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. He's also draining 48.6% of his shots from the field and 41.4% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per contest.
• On a per-game basis, Bam Adebayo gives the Heat 17.4 points, 9.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• The Heat are getting 11.5 points, 9.9 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game from Kel'el Ware this year.
• Andrew Wiggins gets the Heat 15.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest while delivering 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
• The Heat are receiving 15.9 points, 5.1 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr. this season.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Golden State Warriors

Miami Heat