Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 25

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 25

Updated Jan. 25, 2026 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Two of the NBA's best scorers -- Anthony Edwards (fifth, 29.6 points per game) and Stephen Curry (ninth, 27.4) -- square off when the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-18) host the Golden State Warriors (25-21) on January 25, 2026 on NBA TV and FDSN. Sunday's matchup between the Timberwolves and the Warriors sees the Timberwolves as a solid, 7.5-point favorite. The matchup has a point total of 235.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Timberwolves-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 5:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: NBA TV and FDSN
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Timberwolves vs Warriors Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Timberwolves -7.5 -105 -115 235.5 -108 -112 -250 +205

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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 7.5)
O/U Pick: Under (235.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 119 - Warriors 114

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Insights

  • Timberwolves games have finished over 235.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 17 times (out of 45) this year.
  • The Warriors games have gone over 235.5 total points scored in 20 of 46 total matchups this year.
  • Between them, these two teams average 1.3 more points per game (236.8) than this matchup's total (235.5).
  • The Timberwolves and the Warriors have seen their opponents average a combined 6.2 fewer points per game than the point total of 235.5 set for this matchup.
  • Minnesota has been victorious in 24, or 70.6%, of the 34 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Golden State has come away with four wins in the 11 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • After the last one head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has a 1-0 record against Golden State.
  • The Timberwolves also have a 1-0 advantage against the spread when taking on the Warriors.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

  • The Timberwolves are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 games.
  • Minnesota has averaged a total of 235.2 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.3 less than this game's total of 235.5.
  • In the Timberwolves' 45 games this year, they have 19 wins against the spread.
  • Minnesota has been favored by 7.5 points or more 20 times this season and are 7-13 ATS in those contests.
  • Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 22 of 46 set point totals.
  • The 120.0 points per game the Timberwolves average are 5.8 more points than the Warriors give up (114.2).
  • Minnesota has a 17-11 record against the spread and a 22-6 record overall when scoring more than 114.2 points.
  • This season, the Timberwolves have a 48.4% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.2% higher than the 47.2% of shots the Warriors' opponents have hit.
  • The Timberwolves have done a better job covering the spread on the road (10-13-0) than they have in home games (9-13-0).
  • Minnesota has exceeded the total less often at home, hitting the over in seven of 22 home matchups (31.8%). In away games, it has hit the over in 15 of 23 games (65.2%).
  • At home, the Timberwolves have won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 14-5 (.737). On the road, they are 10-5 (.667) as a moneyline favorite.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 120.0 3
Points Allowed 115.1 12
Rebounds 44.7 13
Assists 26.8 10
Steals 8.5 12
Blocks 5.5 7

Timberwolves Leaders

  • Julius Randle posts 22.6 points, 7.0 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game, shooting 49.4% from the field and 34.0% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made treys per game.
  • Edwards averages 29.6 points, 5.1 boards and 3.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocks.
  • Rudy Gobert averages 11.0 points, 11.3 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, shooting 71.6% from the field (first in league).
  • Naz Reid averages 14.6 points, 6.2 boards and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 47.4% from the field and 39.2% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest.
  • Donte DiVincenzo averages 13.2 points, 4.2 assists and 4.6 boards.

Timberwolves Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Anthony Edwards 29.5 -118 29.6
Julius Randle 22.5 -122 22.6
Jaden McDaniels 14.5 +102 15.1
Naz Reid 14.5 -132 14.6
Donte DiVincenzo 13.5 -102 13.2

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their last 10 games.
  • Golden State has averaged a total of 230.7 combined points in its last 10 games, 4.8 fewer than this matchup's total of 235.5.
  • Against the spread, the Warriors are 21-24-1 this season.
  • Golden State has covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 7.5 points or more (in six chances).
  • The Warriors have gone over the point total 58.7% of the time this season (27 of 46 games with a set point total).
  • The Warriors' 116.8 points per game are just 1.7 more points than the 115.1 the Timberwolves give up.
  • Golden State has put together a 16-10-1 ATS record and a 20-7 overall record in games it scores more than 115.1 points.
  • The Warriors' 46.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is .
  • Against the spread, the Warriors have been better at home (13-10-1) than on the road (8-14-0).
  • Golden State's games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (14 times out of 24) than away (13 of 22) this season.
  • As moneyline favorites, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of games at home (16-5) than away (5-9).

Warriors Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.8 14
Points Allowed 114.2 10
Rebounds 42.8 23
Assists 28.8 6
Steals 9.6 4
Blocks 4.5 20

Warriors Leaders

  • Curry is averaging 27.4 points, 3.7 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. He's also sinking 47.0% of his shots from the floor and 39.2% from 3-point range, with 4.6 triples per game (first in league).
  • On a per-game basis, Brandin Podziemski gives the Warriors 12.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
  • Draymond Green gives the Warriors 8.7 points, 5.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest while delivering 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
  • The Warriors are getting 10.7 points, 3.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Moses Moody this season.
  • Quinten Post gives the Warriors 8.0 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game while averaging 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Warriors Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Stephen Curry 28.5 -128 27.4
Brandin Podziemski 14.5 -114 12.2
De'Anthony Melton 12.5 -102 11.3
Moses Moody 11.5 -114 10.7
Draymond Green 8.5 -130 8.7

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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