Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 11

The Golden State Warriors (6-5) will look to end a five-game road losing streak when squaring off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (10-1) on November 11, 2025 at Paycom Center. The Thunder are currently solid 7.5-point favorites over the Warriors. The point total for the game is set at 227.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Thunder-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, November 11, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: NBCS-BA and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 7.5)
O/U Pick: Over (227.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 120 - Warriors 110

Thunder vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• The Thunder and their opponent have combined to score over 227.5 points, the current matchup's total, in seven of 11 games this year.
• Seven of the Warriors' 11 games this season have gone over 227.5 total points scored.
• These teams average 238.3 points per game combined, 10.8 more than the total of 227.5.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 222.4 points per game, 5.1 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
• Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 11 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (90.9%) in those contests.
• Golden State has been chosen as underdogs in three games this year and has walked away with the win one time (33.3%) in those games.
• Golden State has taken two of its last three head-to-head meetings with Oklahoma City.
• The Warriors have an advantage against the spread as well (3-0) when hitting the court against the Thunder.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have six wins against the spread in 11 games this season.
• So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by a 7.5-point margin or more nine times and are 6-3 ATS in those games.
• The Thunder have hit the over in 54.5% of their opportunities this year (six times over 11 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder record 8.8 more points per game (122.4) than the Warriors give up (113.6).
• Oklahoma City is 6-3 against the spread and 8-1 overall when scoring more than 113.6 points.
• The Thunder make 47.1% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.1 percentage points lower than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (47.2%).
• The Thunder own a worse record against the spread at home (2-2-0) than they do in road games (4-3-0).
• Oklahoma City has eclipsed the over/under in three of four home games (75%), compared to three of seven road games (42.9%).
• The Thunder have fared better as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 4-0, compared to going 6-1 in away games.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 33.2 points, 5.2 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game, shooting 52.1% from the field and 34.8% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 13.4 points, 11.8 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game, shooting 68.5% from the floor (third in league).
• Ajay Mitchell averages 17.2 points, 4.1 assists and 4.0 boards per game.
• Chet Holmgren posts 19.1 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 1.3 blocks.
• Cason Wallace posts 9.2 points, 3.8 boards and 2.9 assists per game. Defensively he averages 2.5 steals (first in NBA) and 0.3 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• Against the spread, the Warriors are 5-5-1 this season.
• Golden State has been underdogs by 7.5 points or more one time this season and has not covered the spread once.
• The Warriors have gone over the point total 54.5% of the time this season (six of 11 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors average 7.1 more points per game (115.9) than the Thunder allow (108.8).
• Golden State is 4-4-1 against the spread and 5-4 overall when it scores more than 108.8 points.
• The Warriors have shot at a 46.0% clip from the field this season, 4.1 percentage points above the 41.9% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
• The Warriors have performed better against the spread at home (4-0-1) than on the road (1-5-0) this season.
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Golden State's games have finished above the over/under at home (40%, two of five) than on the road (66.7%, four of six).
• The Warriors' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is 1.000 (4-0), and away it is .250 (1-3).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III is averaging 18.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game. He's also draining 50.4% of his shots from the floor.
• Stephen Curry is averaging 26.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest. He's sinking 45.4% of his shots from the field and 38.9% from 3-point range, with 4.4 treys per contest (first in league).
• Jonathan Kuminga is putting up 15.1 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3.0 assists per contest. He is draining 46.8% of his shots from the floor and 33.3% from 3-point range, with 1.1 treys per game.
• Brandin Podziemski gives the Warriors 12.2 points, 4.7 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game while putting up 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Draymond Green gets the Warriors 8.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game while putting up 0.7 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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