Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 29

Two of the league's best scorers square off -- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second, 32 points per game) and Anthony Edwards (third, 29.4) -- when the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-10) visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (29-19) on January 29, 2026 on Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK. Thursday's game between the Thunder and the Timberwolves sees the Thunder as 6-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 226.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Thunder-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 6)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 117 - Timberwolves 114

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• This season, the Thunder games have finished over 226.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 25 (out of 48) times.
• A total of 32 Timberwolves games this season (out of 48) have gone over 226.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 13 more points per game, 239.5, than this game's total of 226.5 points.
• The Thunder and the Timberwolves have seen their opponents average a combined 4.8 fewer points per game than the over/under of 226.5 set in this matchup.
• Oklahoma City has won 38, or 79.2%, of the 48 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Minnesota has been victorious in three, or 27.3%, of the 11 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Oklahoma City and Minnesota have split the last two games they've played.
• The Timberwolves have an advantage against the spread (2-0) when playing the Thunder.
• The Thunder have been the favorites in each of their past three games, and came up short against the spread in all three.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228.9 points over its last 10 games, 2.4 more than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Thunder are 23-25-0 this season.
• This season, Oklahoma City has an against the spread record of 22-23 in its 45 games as a favorite of 6 points or more.
• The Thunder have gone over the point total in 52.1% of their opportunities this year (25 times over 48 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder put up 6.4 more points per game (120.5) than the Timberwolves allow (114.1).
• When Oklahoma City scores more than 114.1 points, it is 21-11 against the spread and 30-2 overall.
• This season, the Thunder have a 49% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.1% higher than the 45.9% of shots the Timberwolves' opponents have hit.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 12 times in 26 games when playing at home, and they've covered 11 times in 22 games on the road.
• Oklahoma City has eclipsed the over/under less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 13 of 26 home matchups (50%). On the road, it has hit the over in 12 of 22 games (54.5%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.808) compared to road games (.773).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game, shooting 55.4% from the floor and 38.9% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made treys per contest.
• Chet Holmgren posts 17.9 points, 8.7 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 57.1% from the floor and 37.5% from downtown with 1.4 made treys per contest.
• Cason Wallace puts up 7.3 points, 2.1 assists and 3 rebounds per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.4 boards and 3 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Luguentz Dort puts up 8.8 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall over their last 10 games.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 232.5 combined points in its last 10 games, six more than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Timberwolves are 21-27-0 against the spread this season.
• This year, Minnesota has two ATS wins in three games as an underdog of 6 points or more.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 22 of 48 set point totals (45.8%).
• The Timberwolves put up 11.4 more points per game (119) than the Thunder allow their opponents to score (107.6).
• Minnesota has put together a 20-20 ATS record and a 27-13 overall record in games it scores more than 107.6 points.
• The Timberwolves are shooting 48.1% from the field, 5.1% higher than the 43% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have had better results on the road (11-13-0) than at home (10-14-0) .
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under at home (29.2%, seven of 24) than on the road (62.5%, 15 of 24).
• In 2025-26 as moneyline favorites, the Timberwolves have a better winning percentage at home (.714, 15-6 record) than away (.688, 11-5).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Julius Randle gets the Timberwolves 22.4 points, 6.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Edwards gives the Timberwolves 29.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 3.7 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Rudy Gobert is averaging 10.8 points, 11.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. He is making 70.7% of his shots from the floor (first in NBA).
• The Timberwolves are receiving 14.5 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Naz Reid this year.
• Donte DiVincenzo is averaging 13.3 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.2 assists per contest. He is making 41.3% of his shots from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per game (10th in NBA).

Timberwolves Player Props

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