Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 26

In Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals, the Oklahoma City Thunder will meet the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Thunder are currently moderate 3-point favorites against the Timberwolves. The matchup has a point total of 219.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, May 26, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: ESPN and ESPN2

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 3)
O/U Pick: Over (219)
Score Prediction: Thunder 115 - Timberwolves 110

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• The Thunder and their opponent have combined to score over 219 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 58 of 82 games this season.
• The Timberwolves games have gone over 219 total points scored in 48 of 82 total matchups this year.
• The Thunder and Timberwolves average 15.8 more points between them than the total of 219 for this game.
• The Thunder and the Timberwolves have seen their opponents average a combined 2.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 219 set for this outing.
• Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 78 games this season and has come away with the win 65 times (83.3%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (44.4%) in those games.
• In the last seven head-to-head matchups, Oklahoma City has a 4-3 record against Minnesota.
• The Timberwolves hold a 4-3 advantage against the spread when taking on the Thunder.
• Versus the point spread, the Thunder have covered for four straight games, and were the favorites in all of those games.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 3.5 points more than the 219 over/under listed for this matchup.
• In the Thunder's 82 games this year, they have 53 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by a 3-point margin or more 72 times and are 46-23-3 ATS in those contests.
• Thunder games this year have hit the over 54.9% of the time (45 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder score 11.2 more points per game (120.5) than the Timberwolves allow (109.3).
• When Oklahoma City totals more than 109.3 points, it is 44-16-2 against the spread and 53-9 overall.
• The Thunder make 48.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.2 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (46.0%).
• The Thunder own a better record against the spread when playing at home (28-11-3) than they do in road games (25-14-1).
• Oklahoma City has exceeded the total in a higher percentage of games at home (59.5%) than games on the road (50%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won a higher percentage of their home games (.854) compared to away games (.811).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 32.7 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.7 steals (fourth in NBA) and 1.0 block.
• Jalen Williams puts up 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.6 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.7 blocks.
• Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.2 points, 3.8 assists and 10.7 rebounds per game.
• Aaron Wiggins posts 12.0 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.2% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made treys per contest.

Thunder Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 208.8 combined points over its last 10 games, 10.2 less than the 219 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 39-43-0 this season.
• Minnesota has been underdogs by 3 points or more 13 times this season and are 8-5 ATS in those contests.
• Timberwolves games this season have gone over the point total 44 times in 82 opportunities (53.7%).
• The Timberwolves' 114.3 points per game are 6.7 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder allow to opponents.
• Minnesota is 30-22 against the spread and 39-13 overall when it scores more than 107.6 points.
• The Timberwolves have shot at a 46.8% rate from the field this season, 3.2 percentage points greater than the 43.6% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
• The Timberwolves' winning percentage against the spread at home is .415 (17-24-0). On the road, it is .537 (22-19-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Minnesota's games have finished over more often at home (24 of 41, 58.5%) than away (20 of 41, 48.8%).
• As moneyline favorites, the Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of games at home (23-13) than on the road (17-9).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gives the Timberwolves 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Julius Randle is putting up 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists per contest. He's sinking 48.5% of his shots from the field and 34.4% from 3-point range, with 1.6 treys per game.
• The Timberwolves are getting 12.0 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this year.
• The Timberwolves are getting 14.2 points, 6.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.
• Jaden McDaniels is putting up 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. He is sinking 47.7% of his shots from the field and 33.0% from 3-point range, with 1.2 triples per contest.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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