Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 24

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 24

Updated May. 24, 2025 3:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. The Thunder are currently modest 3-point favorites against the Timberwolves. The over/under for the game is set at 218.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Thunder-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Saturday, May 24, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: ABC and ESPNews
Thunder vs Timberwolves Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -3 -112 -108 218.5 -112 -108 -148 +124

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 3)
O/U Pick: Over (218.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 115 - Timberwolves 109

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

  • Of 82 games thus far this season, the Thunder have had 58 with over 218.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
  • This season, 48 of the Timberwolves' 82 games have had a combined total of more than 218.5 points scored.
  • These two teams average 234.8 points per game combined, 16.3 more than the over/under of 218.5.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 216.9 points per game, 1.6 fewer than the over/under for this game.
  • Oklahoma City has won 65, or 83.3%, of the 78 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
  • Minnesota has won in eight, or 44.4%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
  • Oklahoma City has come out on top in four of its last six head-to-head matchups against Minnesota.
  • Both the Thunder and the Timberwolves are 3-3 against the spread in those outings.
  • The Thunder have been the favorites in each of their previous four games, and beat the spread in all four.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span.
  • Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 4.6 points more than the 218.5 over/under given for this matchup.
  • The Thunder are 53-25-4 against the spread this season.
  • Oklahoma City has been favored by 3 points or more 72 times this season and are 46-23-3 ATS in those games.
  • Thunder games this year have gone over the total in 45 out of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
  • The 120.5 points per game the Thunder record are 11.2 more points than the Timberwolves give up (109.3).
  • When Oklahoma City scores more than 109.3 points, it is 44-16-2 against the spread and 53-9 overall.
  • This season, the Thunder have a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.2% higher than the 46.0% of shots the Timberwolves' opponents have knocked down.
  • Against the spread, the Thunder have performed better when playing at home, covering 28 times in 42 home games, and 25 times in 40 road games.
  • Oklahoma City has eclipsed the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (59.5%) than games on the road (50%).
  • The Thunder have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 35-6 (.854). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 30-7 (.811).

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 120.5 4
Points Allowed 107.6 3
Rebounds 44.8 11
Assists 26.9 12
Steals 10.3 1
Blocks 5.7 2

Thunder Leaders

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 32.7 points, 5.0 boards and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 51.9% from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made treys per contest.
  • Jalen Williams posts 21.6 points, 5.1 assists and 5.3 rebounds per contest.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 58.1% from the field.
  • Aaron Wiggins posts 12.0 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Luguentz Dort puts up 10.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 41.2% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made treys per contest.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31.5 -125 32.7
Jalen Williams 20.5 -130 21.6
Chet Holmgren 14.5 -120 15.0
Isaiah Hartenstein 8.5 +110 11.2
Luguentz Dort 7.5 -130 10.1

Timberwolves Recent Trends

  • The Timberwolves are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
  • Minnesota has averaged a total of 207.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 10.6 fewer than this matchup's over/under of 218.5.
  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 39-43-0 this year.
  • This season, Minnesota has an ATS record of 8-5 in its 13 games as an underdog of 3 points or more.
  • The Timberwolves have hit the over 53.7% of the time this season (44 of 82 games with a set point total).
  • The Timberwolves put up an average of 114.3 points per game, 6.7 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder allow.
  • When it scores more than 107.6 points, Minnesota is 30-22 against the spread and 39-13 overall.
  • The Timberwolves have shot at a 46.8% clip from the field this season, 3.2 percentage points above the 43.6% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
  • The Timberwolves have been better against the spread away (22-19-0) than at home (17-24-0) this year.
  • In terms of the over/under, Minnesota's games have finished over more frequently at home (24 of 41, 58.5%) than on the road (20 of 41, 48.8%).
  • The Timberwolves, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (23-13) than away (17-9) this season.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 114.3 13
Points Allowed 109.3 5
Rebounds 44.3 15
Assists 26.1 16
Steals 8.0 17
Blocks 5.0 13

Timberwolves Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gets the Timberwolves 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
  • The Timberwolves are getting 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game from Julius Randle this season.
  • The Timberwolves are receiving 12.0 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this year.
  • Naz Reid is putting up 14.2 points, 6.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He is sinking 46.2% of his shots from the field and 37.9% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per contest.
  • Jaden McDaniels is putting up 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest. He is sinking 47.7% of his shots from the floor and 33.0% from 3-point range, with 1.2 triples per contest.

Timberwolves Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season)
Anthony Edwards 27.5 -110 27.6
Julius Randle 17.5 -130 18.7
Jaden McDaniels 13.5 -110 12.2
Naz Reid 12.5 -105 14.2
Donte DiVincenzo 9.5 -110 11.7

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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