Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 7

The Houston Rockets (31-19) travel to face the Oklahoma City Thunder (40-12) after victories in three road games in a row. The Thunder square off with the Rockets in a game that Oklahoma City is currently a favorite by 4.5 points. The over/under is 213.5 points for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know about the Thunder-Rockets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Rockets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: ABC
• Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (213.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 117 - Rockets 109

Thunder vs. Rockets Betting Insights

• Out of 52 games so far this year, the Thunder have had 43 with over 213.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• The Rockets have played in 38 games this year (76% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 213.5 points.
• Between them, these two teams average 21.9 more points per game (235.4) than this game's over/under (213.5).
• The Thunder and the Rockets have seen their opponents average a combined 4.5 more points per game than the point total of 213.5 set in this outing.
• Oklahoma City has been victorious in 40, or 78.4%, of the 51 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Houston has come away with two wins in the four contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Oklahoma City has taken both of its last two head-to-head meetings with Houston.
• Both the Thunder and the Rockets are 1-1 against the spread in those contests.
• Versus the point spread, the Rockets have failed to cover in four straight games, and were the favorite in all of those games.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 4-5-1 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
• Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 13.3 points more than the 213.5 total listed for this matchup.
• The Thunder have 25 wins against the spread in 52 games this year.
• Oklahoma City has been favored by 4.5 points or more 50 times this season and are 25-25 ATS in those games.
• Thunder games this year have hit the over on 28 of 50 set point totals.
• The 120.2 points per game the Thunder score are 10.1 more points than the Rockets allow (110.1).
• When Oklahoma City scores more than 110.1 points, it is 25-15 against the spread and 36-4 overall.
• The Thunder make 48.8% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.9 percentage points higher than the Rockets have allowed to their opponents (45.9%).
• The Thunder have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (13-14-0) than they have in road games (12-12-1).
• Oklahoma City has gone over the total less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 13 of 27 home matchups (48.1%). In road games, it has hit the over in 15 of 25 games (60%).
• In home games, the Thunder have won more often as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 22-5 (.815). When playing on the road, they are 18-6 (.750) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Chet Holmgren posts 17.7 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 56.6% from the floor and 35.8% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per game.
• Cason Wallace posts 7.9 points, 3.0 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 41.7% from the floor and 36.3% from downtown with 1.4 made treys per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.0 points, 3.1 assists and 10.0 boards per contest.
• Aaron Wiggins averages 10.8 points, 1.9 assists and 3.5 boards.
• Luguentz Dort posts 8.9 points, 4.0 boards and 1.2 assists per contest, shooting 39.9% from the floor and 36.0% from beyond the arc with 2.0 made 3-pointers per game.

Thunder Player Props

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have a 3-7 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Houston has averaged a total of 219.6 combined points in its last 10 games, 6.1 greater than this matchup's total of 213.5.
• The Rockets have played 50 games, with 22 wins against the spread.
• Houston has been underdogs by 4.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
• Rockets games this season have gone over the point total 21 times in 50 opportunities (42%).
• The Rockets score an average of 115.2 points per game, 7.3 more points than the 107.9 the Thunder allow to opponents.
• Houston is 20-19 against the spread and 28-11 overall when it scores more than 107.9 points.
• The Rockets have shot at a 47.2% clip from the field this season, 4.0 percentage points above the 43.2% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
• Against the spread, the Rockets have had better results away (14-13-0) than at home (8-15-0) .
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Houston's games have finished above the over/under at home (30.4%, seven of 23) compared to away (51.9%, 14 of 27).
• When moneyline favorites, the Rockets have won a higher percentage of games at home (17-5) than away (12-12).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Kevin Durant gets the Rockets 26.0 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• The Rockets are getting 20.9 points, 9.4 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game from Alperen Sengun this season.
• The Rockets are getting 17.8 points, 7.6 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game from Amen Thompson this year.
• Jabari Smith Jr. is averaging 15.1 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. He is making 43.7% of his shots from the field and 35.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per contest.
• The Rockets are receiving 12.4 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Reed Sheppard this year.

Rockets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

National Basketball Association

Oklahoma City Thunder

Houston Rockets