Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 7 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 18

In Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Oklahoma City Thunder will go up against the Denver Nuggets. Sunday's matchup between the Thunder and the Nuggets sees the Thunder as a solid, 8-point favorite. The matchup's point total is 215.

Here is everything you need to know about the Thunder-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: ABC

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 8)
O/U Pick: Over (215)
Score Prediction: Thunder 122 - Nuggets 109

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• This season, the Thunder games have gone over 215 points scored, their current matchup's total, 62 (out of 82) times.
• The Nuggets games have gone over 215 total points scored in 70 of 82 total matchups this season.
• These two teams average 241.3 points per game combined, 26.3 more than the total of 215.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 224.5 points per game, 9.5 more than the point total for this matchup.
• Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 78 games this season and has come away with the win 65 times (83.3%) in those contests.
• Denver has been victorious in 10, or 52.6%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Oklahoma City and Denver have each won five of their last 10 head-to-head matchups.
• The Nuggets hold a 7-3 edge against the spread when matched up with the Thunder.
• The Thunder have been favored in each of their previous four games, and covered the spread in all four.
• The Nuggets have covered the point spread in their past three games, and were the favorite in all of those contests.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 3-7 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 games.
• Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 227.0 combined points over its last 10 games, 12.0 greater than this matchup's over/under of 215.
• The Thunder have 53 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• This season, Oklahoma City has an against the spread record of 30-15-3 in its 48 games as a favorite of 8 points or more.
• The Thunder have gone over the point total in 54.9% of their opportunities this year (45 times over 82 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder put up only 3.6 more points per game (120.5) than the Nuggets give up (116.9).
• Oklahoma City has a 38-12-1 record against the spread and a 46-5 record overall when scoring more than 116.9 points.
• This season, the Thunder have a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.6% higher than the 46.6% of shots the Nuggets' opponents have made.
• The Thunder own a better record against the spread in home games (28-11-3) than they do in road games (25-14-1).
• Oklahoma City has gone over the over/under more often at home, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). On the road, it has hit the over in 20 of 40 games (50%).
• The Thunder have played better as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 35-6, compared to going 30-7 in away games.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.7 steals (fourth in NBA) and 1 block.
• Jalen Williams averages 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the field and 36.5% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein posts 11.2 points, 3.8 assists and 10.7 boards per game.
• Aaron Wiggins posts 12 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per game, shooting 48.8% from the field and 38.3% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made treys per game.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.2% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made treys per game.

Thunder Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have gone 6-4 in their past 10 games, with a 9-1 record against the spread in that span.
• Denver has averaged a total of 219.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 4.8 greater than this game's over/under of 215.
• The Nuggets have 38 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• Denver has covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 8 points or more (in three chances).
• Nuggets games this year have hit the over 59.8% of the time (49 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets average 13.2 more points per game (120.8) than the Thunder allow their opponents to score (107.6).
• Denver has put together a 38-30 ATS record and a 49-19 overall record in games it scores more than 107.6 points.
• The Nuggets' 50.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is seven percentage points higher than the Thunder have given up to their opponents (43.6%).
• The Nuggets have performed better against the spread away (20-21-0) than at home (18-23-0) this season.
• Looking at the over/under, Denver's games have finished over more often at home (26 of 41, 63.4%) than away (23 of 41, 56.1%).
• This year the Nuggets are 24-13 at home when moneyline favorites (.649 winning percentage). On the road they are 16-10 (.615).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic provides 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds and 10.2 assists per game for the Nuggets.
• The Nuggets are receiving 21.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6 assists per game from Jamal Murray this season.
• Michael Porter Jr. gets the Nuggets 18.2 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game while averaging 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Christian Braun is putting up 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He is making 58% of his shots from the field (eighth in league) and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per game.
• The Nuggets are getting 13.3 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game from Russell Westbrook this season.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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