Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 6 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 15

In Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Oklahoma City Thunder will meet the Denver Nuggets. Thursday's matchup between the Thunder and the Nuggets features the Thunder as 4.5-point favorites. A 217-point total is set for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Thunder-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 15, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: ESPN

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (217)
Score Prediction: Thunder 120 - Nuggets 111

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• This season, the Thunder games have gone over 217 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 60 (out of 82) times.
• A total of 70 Nuggets games this season (out of 82) have had more than 217 total points scored.
• These two teams average a combined 241.3 points per game, 24.3 more points than the total of 217 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 224.5 points per game, 7.5 more than the point total in this game.
• Oklahoma City has come away with 65 wins in the 78 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Denver has been an underdog in 19 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (52.6%) in those contests.
• Oklahoma City holds a 5-4 record in the last nine head-to-head games against Denver.
• The Nuggets have a 6-3 record against the spread when playing the Thunder.
• The Thunder beat the point spread in their previous four games, and were the favorites in all of those contests.
• The Nuggets have covered the point spread in their previous three games, and were favored in all of those games.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their past 10 games.
• Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 11.3 points more than the 217 total given for this matchup.
• The Thunder have played 82 games, with 53 wins against the spread.
• Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 42-22-3 in its 67 games when favored by 4.5 points or more so far this season.
• Thunder games this year have eclipsed the over/under 45 times in 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• The 120.5 points per game the Thunder put up are just 3.6 more points than the Nuggets allow (116.9).
• When Oklahoma City scores more than 116.9 points, it is 38-12-1 against the spread and 46-5 overall.
• This season, the Thunder have a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.6% higher than the 46.6% of shots the Nuggets' opponents have made.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 28 times in 42 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered 25 times in 40 opportunities in away games.
• Oklahoma City has hit the over on the over/under in 25 of 42 home games (59.5%), compared to 20 of 40 road games (50%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won a higher percentage of their games when playing at home (.854) compared to away games (.811).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 32.7 points, 6.4 assists and 5 boards per game.
• Jalen Williams puts up 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.6 steals (seventh in league) and 0.7 blocks.
• Isaiah Hartenstein posts 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocks.
• Aaron Wiggins averages 12 points, 1.8 assists and 3.9 boards.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 boards.

Thunder Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 8-2 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 games.
• Denver has averaged a total of 219.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.5 greater than this game's over/under of 217.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-44-0 this season.
• Denver has been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 10 times this season and are 5-5 ATS in those games.
• The Nuggets have gone over the point total 59.8% of the time this year (49 of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets score an average of 120.8 points per game, 13.2 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder allow.
• Denver is 38-30 against the spread and 49-19 overall when it scores more than 107.6 points.
• The Nuggets' 50.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is seven percentage points higher than the Thunder have given up to their opponents (43.6%).
• The Nuggets' winning percentage against the spread at home is .439 (18-23-0). Away, it is .488 (20-21-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Denver's games have gone over more frequently at home (26 of 41, 63.4%) than on the road (23 of 41, 56.1%).
• This year the Nuggets are 24-13 at home as moneyline favorites (.649 winning percentage). Away they are 16-10 (.615).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Nikola Jokic gives the Nuggets 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds and 10.2 assists. He also averages 1.8 steals (second in league) and 0.6 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Jamal Murray gives the Nuggets 21.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 18.2 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He is draining 50.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.5% from 3-point range, with 2.5 treys per contest.
• Christian Braun is putting up 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He is making 58% of his shots from the field (eighth in league) and 39.7% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per game.
• Russell Westbrook is putting up 13.3 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists per contest. He is sinking 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 32.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 treys per game.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

National Basketball Association

Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder