Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 13

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets are playing in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 5 coming up. Oklahoma City is a strong 10-point favorite against Denver when the Thunder square off against the Nuggets on Tuesday. The over/under for the matchup is 222.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Thunder-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 13, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: TNT, MAX, and truTV

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 10)
O/U Pick: Over (222)
Score Prediction: Thunder 123 - Nuggets 108

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• The Thunder and their opponent have combined to score over 222 points, the current matchup's point total, in 54 of 82 games this year.
• The Nuggets games have gone over 222 total points scored in 66 of 82 total matchups this year.
• The Thunder and Nuggets average 19.3 more points between them than the total of 222 for this game.
• The Thunder and the Nuggets have seen their opponents average a combined 2.5 more points per game than the point total of 222 set in this game.
• Oklahoma City has won 65, or 83.3%, of the 78 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Denver has been an underdog in 19 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (52.6%) in those contests.
• Oklahoma City and Denver have each won four of their last eight head-to-head matchups.
• The Nuggets have a 5-3 record against the spread when taking on the Thunder.
• Versus the point spread, the Thunder have covered in four straight games, and were favored in all of those contests.
• In their past three contests the Nuggets have covered the point spread, and they were the favorite in all of them.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have gone 8-2 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
• Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 229.6 combined points in its last 10 games, 7.6 greater than this matchup's over/under of 222.
• The Thunder have played 82 games, with 53 wins against the spread.
• Oklahoma City is 22-10-3 ATS when favored by 10 points or more this season.
• Thunder games this year have hit the over on 45 of 82 set point totals.
• The Thunder average only 3.6 more points per game (120.5) than the Nuggets give up (116.9).
• Oklahoma City has a 38-12-1 record against the spread and a 46-5 record overall when scoring more than 116.9 points.
• This season, the Thunder have a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.6% higher than the 46.6% of shots the Nuggets' opponents have made.
• The Thunder own a better record against the spread when playing at home (28-11-3) than they do in away games (25-14-1).
• Oklahoma City has gone over the total in a higher percentage of games at home (59.5%) than games on the road (50%).
• The Thunder have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 35-6 (.854). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 30-7 (.811).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.7 steals (fourth in NBA) and 1 block.
• Jalen Williams puts up 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the field and 36.5% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 3.8 assists and 10.7 rebounds per contest.
• Aaron Wiggins puts up 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Luguentz Dort posts 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.2% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made treys per game.

Thunder Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 219.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.9 less than the 222 over/under in this matchup.
• The Nuggets are 38-44-0 against the spread this season.
• Denver covered the spread in its only game when underdogs by 10 points or more.
• Nuggets games this season have gone over the point total 59.8% of the time (49 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets put up an average of 120.8 points per game, 13.2 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder give up.
• Denver has put together a 38-30 ATS record and a 49-19 overall record in games it scores more than 107.6 points.
• The Nuggets are shooting 50.6% from the field, seven% higher than the 43.6% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
• This year, the Nuggets are 18-23-0 at home against the spread (.439 winning percentage). Away, they are 20-21-0 ATS (.488).
• In 2024-25, a higher percentage of Denver's games have finished above the over/under at home (63.4%, 26 of 41) compared to away (56.1%, 23 of 41).
• The Nuggets' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .649 (24-13), and on the road it is .615 (16-10).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic generates 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds and 10.2 assists per game for the Nuggets.
• The Nuggets are getting 21.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6 assists per game from Jamal Murray this season.
• Michael Porter Jr. gives the Nuggets 18.2 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest while delivering 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• The Nuggets are getting 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Christian Braun this season.
• Russell Westbrook is putting up 13.3 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists per contest. He is draining 44.9% of his shots from the field and 32.3% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per game.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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