Thunder vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 19

Thunder vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 19

Updated Jan. 19, 2026 3:23 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

A pair of the league's top scorers -- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second, 31.8 points per game) and Donovan Mitchell (seventh, 29.2) -- face off when the Oklahoma City Thunder (35-8) visit the Cleveland Cavaliers (24-19) on January 19, 2026 on NBC/Peacock and FDSOK. Oklahoma City is a solid 6.5-point favorite against Cleveland when the Thunder take on the Cavaliers on Monday. A 234.5-point over/under is set for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Thunder-Cavaliers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Cavaliers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Monday, January 19, 2026 at 2:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio
  • TV: NBC/Peacock and FDSOK
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Thunder vs Cavaliers Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -6.5 -110 -110 234.5 -110 -110 -250 +205

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Thunder vs. Cavaliers Prediction

ATS Pick: Cavaliers (+ 6.5)
O/U Pick: Under (234.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 119 - Cavaliers 114

Thunder vs. Cavaliers Betting Insights

  • The Thunder have played 16 games with more than 234.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this year.
  • The Cavaliers have played in 22 games this season (51.2% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 234.5 points.
  • The Thunder and Cavaliers average 6.6 more points between them than the over/under of 234.5 for this matchup.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 9.1 fewer points per game (225.4) than this matchup's total of 234.5 points.
  • Oklahoma City has won 35, or 81.4%, of the 43 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
  • Cleveland has come away with four wins in the nine contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • Oklahoma City and Cleveland have split the last two games they've played.
  • Both the Thunder and the Cavaliers are 1-1 against the spread in those outings.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests.
  • Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.4 points in its last 10 games, 3.1 less than the 234.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Thunder are 21-22-0 against the spread this year.
  • Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 20-19 in its 39 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more so far this season.
  • Thunder games this year have gone over the point total 22 times in 43 opportunities (51.2%).
  • The Thunder record 121.1 points per game, only 3.7 more points than the 117.4 the Cavaliers give up.
  • Oklahoma City is 18-10 against the spread and 26-2 overall when scoring more than 117.4 points.
  • The Thunder are shooting 49.0% from the field this season, 2.4 percentage points higher than the 46.6% the Cavaliers allow to opponents.
  • Against the spread, the Thunder have played better at home, covering 12 times in 23 home games, and nine times in 20 road games.
  • Oklahoma City has exceeded the over/under in 12 of 23 home games (52.2%), compared to 10 of 20 road games (50%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.870) compared to away games (.750).

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 121.1 2
Points Allowed 108.0 1
Rebounds 44.0 17
Assists 25.6 17
Steals 10.1 3
Blocks 5.9 4

Thunder Leaders

  • Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.8 points, 6.2 assists and 4.4 rebounds per game.
  • Chet Holmgren posts 17.8 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 2.0 blocks (third in league).
  • Ajay Mitchell posts 14.2 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest, shooting 48.3% from the floor and 34.3% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
  • Cason Wallace puts up 7.4 points, 3.1 boards and 2.1 assists per game, shooting 41.5% from the floor and 35.7% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made treys per game.
  • Aaron Wiggins averages 10.3 points, 1.7 assists and 3.3 boards.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31.5 -114 31.8
Chet Holmgren 17.5 -130 17.8
Ajay Mitchell 14.5 -120 14.2
Aaron Wiggins 11.5 +100 10.3
Luguentz Dort 7.5 -114 8.2

Cavaliers Recent Trends

  • The Cavaliers are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
  • Cleveland has averaged a total of 239.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.6 greater than this game's total of 234.5.
  • The Cavaliers are 16-27-0 against the spread this season.
  • Cavaliers games this season have hit the over on 20 of 43 set point totals (46.5%).
  • The Cavaliers put up an average of 120.0 points per game, 12.0 more points than the 108.0 the Thunder give up.
  • Cleveland is 16-20 against the spread and 23-13 overall when it scores more than 108.0 points.
  • The Cavaliers have shot at a 47.3% rate from the field this season, 4.1 percentage points above the 43.2% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
  • The Cavaliers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .333 (8-16-0). Away, it is .421 (8-11-0).
  • Cleveland's games have finished above the over/under less often at home (nine times out of 24) than away (11 of 19) this season.
  • When moneyline favorites, the Cavaliers have won a higher percentage of games at home (14-9) than away (6-5).

Cavaliers Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 120.0 3
Points Allowed 117.4 21
Rebounds 44.3 14
Assists 28.8 6
Steals 8.8 7
Blocks 5.1 10

Cavaliers Leaders

  • Donovan Mitchell generates 29.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game for the Cavaliers.
  • On a per-game basis, Evan Mobley gives the Cavaliers 17.8 points, 8.6 rebounds and 4.1 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 1.9 blocked shots (fifth in NBA).
  • Jaylon Tyson is putting up 13.4 points, 5.3 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. He is sinking 52.4% of his shots from the floor and 47.5% from beyond the arc (second in NBA), with 2.0 treys per contest.
  • Jarrett Allen is averaging 13.4 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He is draining 59.7% of his shots from the floor (ninth in league).
  • The Cavaliers are receiving 14.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from De'Andre Hunter this year.

Cavaliers Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Donovan Mitchell 27.5 -104 29.2
Evan Mobley 15.5 -132 17.8
Jaylon Tyson 14.5 -108 13.4
De'Andre Hunter 13.5 -118 14.1
Jarrett Allen 12.5 -106 13.4

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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