Thunder vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 19

Thunder vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 19

Updated Jan. 19, 2026 3:23 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

The Cleveland Cavaliers (24-19) will look to Donovan Mitchell (seventh in NBA, 29.2 points per game) to help knock off Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second in league, 31.8) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (35-8) on January 19, 2026 at Rocket Arena. Monday's game between the Thunder and the Cavaliers sees the Thunder as 6-point favorites. The over/under for the game is set at 230.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Cavaliers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Cavaliers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Monday, January 19, 2026 at 2:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio
  • TV: NBC/Peacock and FDSOK
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Thunder vs Cavaliers Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -6 -114 -106 230.5 -112 -108 -235 +194

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Thunder vs. Cavaliers Prediction

ATS Pick: Cavaliers (+ 6)
O/U Pick: Over (230.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 119 - Cavaliers 114

Thunder vs. Cavaliers Betting Insights

  • Of 43 games so far this season, the Thunder have played 21 with more than 230.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
  • A total of 26 Cavaliers games this season (out of 43) have gone over 230.5 total points scored.
  • These teams average a combined 241.1 points per game, 10.6 more points than the over/under of 230.5 set for this game.
  • The Thunder and the Cavaliers have seen their opponents average a combined 5.1 fewer points per game than the point total of 230.5 set in this outing.
  • Oklahoma City has come away with 35 wins in the 43 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
  • Cleveland has won in four of the nine contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
  • Oklahoma City and Cleveland have split the last two games they've played.
  • The two teams are each 1-1 against the spread in those outings.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.
  • Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.4 points over its last 10 games, 0.9 more than the 230.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Thunder are 21-22-0 against the spread this year.
  • This season, Oklahoma City has an against the spread record of 20-20 in its 40 games as a favorite of 6 points or more.
  • Thunder games this year have hit the over on 22 of 43 set point totals.
  • The Thunder record only 3.7 more points per game (121.1) than the Cavaliers give up (117.4).
  • Oklahoma City is 18-10 against the spread and 26-2 overall when scoring more than 117.4 points.
  • The Thunder are shooting 49.0% from the field this season, 2.4 percentage points higher than the 46.6% the Cavaliers allow to opponents.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 12 times in 23 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered nine times in 20 opportunities on the road.
  • When playing at home, Oklahoma City exceeds the over/under 52.2% of the time (12 of 23 games). It has hit the over in 50% of away games (10 of 20 contests).
  • In home games, the Thunder have won more often as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 20-3 (.870). In road games, they are 15-5 (.750) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 121.1 2
Points Allowed 108.0 1
Rebounds 44.0 17
Assists 25.6 17
Steals 10.1 3
Blocks 5.9 4

Thunder Leaders

  • Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.8 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocks.
  • Chet Holmgren posts 17.8 points, 1.6 assists and 8.5 boards per contest.
  • Ajay Mitchell puts up 14.2 points, 3.5 boards and 3.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocks.
  • Cason Wallace averages 7.4 points, 3.1 boards and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 41.5% from the field and 35.7% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.
  • Aaron Wiggins posts 10.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 0.7 steals and 0.6 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 32.5 -104 31.8
Chet Holmgren 17.5 -122 17.8
Ajay Mitchell 15.5 -113 14.2
Aaron Wiggins 11.5 -113 10.3
Luguentz Dort 7.5 -113 8.2

Cavaliers Recent Trends

  • The Cavaliers have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
  • Cleveland has averaged a total of 239.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 8.6 greater than this matchup's over/under of 230.5.
  • The Cavaliers have played 43 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
  • Cavaliers games this year have eclipsed the over/under 46.5% of the time (20 out of 43 games with a set point total).
  • The Cavaliers put up an average of 120.0 points per game, 12.0 more points than the 108.0 the Thunder allow to opponents.
  • Cleveland has put together a 16-20 ATS record and a 23-13 overall record in games it scores more than 108.0 points.
  • The Cavaliers are shooting 47.3% from the field, 4.1% higher than the 43.2% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
  • The Cavaliers have performed better against the spread away (8-11-0) than at home (8-16-0) this season.
  • Cleveland's games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (nine times out of 24) than away (11 of 19) this year.
  • The Cavaliers' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .609 (14-9), and on the road it is .545 (6-5).

Cavaliers Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 120.0 3
Points Allowed 117.4 21
Rebounds 44.3 14
Assists 28.8 6
Steals 8.8 7
Blocks 5.1 10

Cavaliers Leaders

  • Donovan Mitchell delivers 29.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game for the Cavaliers.
  • On a per-game basis, Evan Mobley gets the Cavaliers 17.8 points, 8.6 rebounds and 4.1 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 1.9 blocked shots (fifth in league).
  • The Cavaliers are receiving 13.4 points, 5.3 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Jaylon Tyson this season.
  • Jarrett Allen is averaging 13.4 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He is making 59.7% of his shots from the floor (ninth in league).
  • De'Andre Hunter gives the Cavaliers 14.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game while averaging 0.6 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Cavaliers Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Donovan Mitchell 27.5 -111 29.2
Evan Mobley 16.5 -128 17.8
Jaylon Tyson 14.5 +102 13.4
De'Andre Hunter 13.5 -115 14.1
Jarrett Allen 12.5 -108 13.4

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
share