Rockets vs. Pacers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 29

The Indiana Pacers (6-26) will try to turn around an eight-game losing skid when visiting the Houston Rockets (19-10) on December 29, 2025 at Toyota Center. Houston is a substantial 14.5-point favorite against Indiana when the Rockets face off with the Pacers on Monday. The point total for the game is set at 221.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Rockets-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, December 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: FDSIN and SCHN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Rockets vs. Pacers Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (- 14.5)
O/U Pick: Over (221.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 126 - Pacers 104

Rockets vs. Pacers Betting Insights

• The Rockets have played 19 games with over 221.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this year.
• The Pacers have played in 20 games this season (62.5% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 221.5 points.
• The Rockets and Pacers average 8.6 more points between them than the over/under of 221.5 for this matchup.
• The Rockets and the Pacers have seen their opponents average a combined 9.4 more points per game than the point total of 221.5 set for this matchup.
• Houston has been chosen as the favorite in 27 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (66.7%) in those games.
• Indiana has been victorious in four, or 14.8%, of the 27 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• After the last two head-to-head meetings, Houston and Indiana have a tied 1-1 record.
• The squads are both 1-1 against the spread in those contests.
• In their past three games the Pacers have failed to beat the spread, and they were the favorite in zero of those games.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 games.
• Houston has averaged a total of 227.6 combined points in its last 10 games, 6.1 greater than this game's total of 221.5.
• The Rockets have 17 wins against the spread in 29 games this season.
• Houston has an against the spread record of 3-0 in its three games as a favorite of 14.5 points or more so far this season.
• The Rockets have eclipsed the over/under in 53.1% of their opportunities this year (17 times over 32 games with a set point total).
• The 120.3 points per game the Rockets put up are just 1.1 more points than the Pacers give up (119.2).
• When Houston totals more than 119.2 points, it is 10-4 against the spread and 9-5 overall.
• The Rockets are shooting 48.9% from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points higher than the 48.0% the Pacers allow to opponents.
• The Rockets have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (11-7-0) than they have at home (6-5-0).
• Houston has gone over the over/under in five of 11 home games (45.5%). It has done better in away games, going over the total in 12 of 18 matchups (66.7%).
• The Rockets have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 9-2 (.818). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 9-7 (.562).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun puts up 22.7 points, 9.4 boards and 6.8 assists per game, shooting 50.8% from the floor.
• Amen Thompson averages 17.7 points, 7.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game, shooting 50.7% from the floor.
• Kevin Durant averages 25.4 points, 4.9 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest, shooting 51.6% from the floor and 44.2% from downtown with 2.1 made treys per contest.
• Jabari Smith Jr. averages 15.6 points, 1.9 assists and 6.8 rebounds.
• Reed Sheppard averages 13.4 points, 3.0 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game, shooting 45.3% from the field and 42.9% from downtown with 2.7 made treys per contest.

Pacers Recent Trends

• The Pacers have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall in their past 10 games.
• Indiana's average total over the last 10 games is 7.1 points greater than the 221.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Pacers are 15-17-0 this season.
• The Pacers have eclipsed the over/under 40.6% of the time this season (13 of 32 games with a set point total).
• The Pacers put up only 1.9 fewer points per game (109.8) than the Rockets give up (111.7).
• When it scores more than 111.7 points, Indiana is 9-6 against the spread and 5-10 overall.
• The Pacers are shooting 43.3% from the field, 2.9% lower than the 46.2% the Rockets' opponents have shot this season.
• The Pacers have performed better against the spread at home (9-8-0) than on the road (6-9-0) this year.
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Indiana's games have finished above the over/under at home (52.9%, nine of 17) than on the road (26.7%, four of 15).
• This year the Pacers are 2-2 at home when moneyline favorites (.500 winning percentage). On the road they are 0-1 (.000).

Pacers Recent Stats

Pacers Leaders

• Pascal Siakam provides 23.4 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game for the Pacers.
• On a per-game basis, Andrew Nembhard gives the Pacers 17.3 points, 2.4 rebounds and 6.9 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• The Pacers are getting 8.1 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Jay Huff this season.
• Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 18.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest. He is making 42.8% of his shots from the floor and 36.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 treys per game.
• Jarace Walker gets the Pacers 8.9 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game while delivering 0.5 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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