Rockets vs. Pacers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 29

The Indiana Pacers (6-26) will try to end an eight-game losing skid when visiting the Houston Rockets (19-10) on December 29, 2025 at Toyota Center. The Rockets match up against the Pacers in a game that Houston is currently a sizable favorite by 14 points. A 220.5-point over/under has been set for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know about the Rockets-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, December 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: FDSIN and SCHN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Rockets vs. Pacers Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (- 14)
O/U Pick: Over (220.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 126 - Pacers 104

Rockets vs. Pacers Betting Insights

• Out of 29 games thus far this year, the Rockets have had 20 with more than 220.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• This season, 21 of the Pacers' 32 total matchups have gone over 220.5 total points scored.
• These teams average 230.1 points per game combined, 9.6 more than the over/under of 220.5.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 230.9 points per game, 10.4 more than the point total for this game.
• Houston has won 18, or 66.7%, of the 27 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Indiana has been victorious in four, or 14.8%, of the 27 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Houston and Indiana have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
• Both the Rockets and the Pacers are 1-1 against the spread in those contests.
• Versus the spread, the Pacers have failed to cover in three consecutive games, and were the favorite in zero of those games.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 games.
• Houston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 227.6 points in its last 10 games, 7.1 more than the 220.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Rockets' 29 games this year, they have 17 wins against the spread.
• Houston has been favored by 14 points or more three times this season and have covered the spread in all of them.
• Rockets games this year have hit the over 53.1% of the time (17 out of 32 games with a set point total).
• The 120.3 points per game the Rockets put up are just 1.1 more points than the Pacers allow (119.2).
• Houston is 10-4 against the spread and 9-5 overall when scoring more than 119.2 points.
• The Rockets make 48.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.9 percentage points higher than the Pacers have allowed to their opponents (48.0%).
• The Rockets have done a better job covering the spread in road games (11-7-0) than they have in home games (6-5-0).
• Houston has hit the over on the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (45.5%) than away games (66.7%).
• The Rockets have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 9-2 (.818). On the road as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 9-7 (.562).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun posts 22.7 points, 9.4 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals (10th in league) and 1.0 block.
• Amen Thompson posts 17.7 points, 5.3 assists and 7.3 boards per game.
• Kevin Durant puts up 25.4 points, 4.3 assists and 4.9 boards per contest.
• Jabari Smith Jr. puts up 15.6 points, 6.8 boards and 1.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Reed Sheppard puts up 13.4 points, 3.0 boards and 3.5 assists per contest, shooting 45.3% from the floor and 42.9% from downtown with 2.7 made treys per game.

Rockets Player Props

Pacers Recent Trends

• The Pacers have gone 2-8 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Indiana's average total over the last 10 games is 8.1 points greater than the 220.5 total listed for this matchup.
• The Pacers have 15 wins against the spread in 32 games this season.
• Indiana has been underdogs by 14 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• Pacers games this year have gone over the point total 40.6% of the time (13 out of 32 games with a set point total).
• The Pacers put up only 1.9 fewer points per game (109.8) than the Rockets give up to opponents (111.7).
• When it scores more than 111.7 points, Indiana is 9-6 against the spread and 5-10 overall.
• The Pacers have shot at a 43.3% rate from the field this season, 2.9 percentage points fewer than the 46.2% shooting opponents of the Rockets have averaged.
• This season, the Pacers are 9-8-0 at home against the spread (.529 winning percentage). Away, they are 6-9-0 ATS (.400).
• Indiana's games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (nine times out of 17) than away (four of 15) this season.
• When moneyline favorites, the Pacers have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-2) than on the road (0-1).

Pacers Recent Stats

Pacers Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Pascal Siakam gets the Pacers 23.4 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Andrew Nembhard gives the Pacers 17.3 points, 2.4 rebounds and 6.9 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Jay Huff is putting up 8.1 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is draining 42.1% of his shots from the floor and 29.3% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per contest.
• Bennedict Mathurin gets the Pacers 18.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game while posting 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Jarace Walker is putting up 8.9 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. He is draining 33.7% of his shots from the floor and 30.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 triples per contest.

Pacers Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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